Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm an absolute daily minimum of 26°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent high humidity levels above 80%, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds suppressed overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions where minimum temperatures rarely fall below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Ensemble model guidance had shown limited downside risk to 24–25°C under clearer skies, yet moisture and urban heat effects anchored readings at or above 26°C at the reference station. Resolution hinges on finalized observatory data, with any post-processing revision representing the primary, albeit low-probability, scenario that could shift the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 14. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 14. September?
26°C 100.0%
21°C oder darunter <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,649 Vol.
$24,649 Vol.
14. Sep. 2026
21°C oder darunter
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Ja
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Nein
30°C
Nein
31°C oder höher
Nein
26°C 100.0%
21°C oder darunter <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,649 Vol.
$24,649 Vol.
14. Sep. 2026
21°C oder darunter
$249 Vol.
Nein
22°C
$754 Vol.
Nein
23°C
$2,268 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$4,051 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$3,091 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$5,839 Vol.
Ja
27°C
$5,895 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$1,818 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$24 Vol.
Nein
30°C
$618 Vol.
Nein
31°C oder höher
$40 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm an absolute daily minimum of 26°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent high humidity levels above 80%, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds suppressed overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions where minimum temperatures rarely fall below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Ensemble model guidance had shown limited downside risk to 24–25°C under clearer skies, yet moisture and urban heat effects anchored readings at or above 26°C at the reference station. Resolution hinges on finalized observatory data, with any post-processing revision representing the primary, albeit low-probability, scenario that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$24,649Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm an absolute daily minimum of 26°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent high humidity levels above 80%, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds suppressed overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions where minimum temperatures rarely fall below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Ensemble model guidance had shown limited downside risk to 24–25°C under clearer skies, yet moisture and urban heat effects anchored readings at or above 26°C at the reference station. Resolution hinges on finalized observatory data, with any post-processing revision representing the primary, albeit low-probability, scenario that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$24,649Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm an absolute daily minimum of 26°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent high humidity levels above 80%, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds suppressed overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions where minimum temperatures rarely fall below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Ensemble model guidance had shown limited downside risk to 24–25°C under clearer skies, yet moisture and urban heat effects anchored readings at or above 26°C at the reference station. Resolution hinges on finalized observatory data, with any post-processing revision representing the primary, albeit low-probability, scenario that could shift the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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