Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers and light winds on September 6, supporting overnight minimum temperatures of 26–27°C amid typical early-September subtropical humidity levels near 80–95%. Recent surface observations show similar nighttime readings around 25–27°C under comparable weak pressure gradients and distant tropical cyclone influences that have not altered local steering patterns. Model consensus and climatological baselines for the period reinforce this narrow range, with traders assigning over 87% combined implied probability to 26–27°C outcomes as the most likely resolution criteria for the daily minimum. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period could refine these probabilities if shower timing or wind shifts occur.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 6. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 6. September?
27°C 51%
26°C 36%
25°C 8%
28°C 7%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
22°C oder darunter
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
8%
26°C
36%
27°C
51%
28°C
7%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 51%
26°C 36%
25°C 8%
28°C 7%
NEU
NEU
6. Sep. 2026
22°C oder darunter
$17 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$368 Vol.
8%
26°C
$388 Vol.
36%
27°C
$821 Vol.
51%
28°C
$335 Vol.
7%
29°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$17 Vol.
<1%
32°C oder höher
$17 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers and light winds on September 6, supporting overnight minimum temperatures of 26–27°C amid typical early-September subtropical humidity levels near 80–95%. Recent surface observations show similar nighttime readings around 25–27°C under comparable weak pressure gradients and distant tropical cyclone influences that have not altered local steering patterns. Model consensus and climatological baselines for the period reinforce this narrow range, with traders assigning over 87% combined implied probability to 26–27°C outcomes as the most likely resolution criteria for the daily minimum. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period could refine these probabilities if shower timing or wind shifts occur.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$2,034Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers and light winds on September 6, supporting overnight minimum temperatures of 26–27°C amid typical early-September subtropical humidity levels near 80–95%. Recent surface observations show similar nighttime readings around 25–27°C under comparable weak pressure gradients and distant tropical cyclone influences that have not altered local steering patterns. Model consensus and climatological baselines for the period reinforce this narrow range, with traders assigning over 87% combined implied probability to 26–27°C outcomes as the most likely resolution criteria for the daily minimum. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period could refine these probabilities if shower timing or wind shifts occur.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,034Enddatum
6. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers and light winds on September 6, supporting overnight minimum temperatures of 26–27°C amid typical early-September subtropical humidity levels near 80–95%. Recent surface observations show similar nighttime readings around 25–27°C under comparable weak pressure gradients and distant tropical cyclone influences that have not altered local steering patterns. Model consensus and climatological baselines for the period reinforce this narrow range, with traders assigning over 87% combined implied probability to 26–27°C outcomes as the most likely resolution criteria for the daily minimum. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period could refine these probabilities if shower timing or wind shifts occur.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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