Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate overnight lows of 24–26°C on September 4 under northwest to northwesterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, with scattered showers and extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 25°C (42%) and 26°C (32%), as persistent humidity near 75–95% and modest wind speeds prevent deeper nocturnal drops while suppressing daytime maxima near 29°C. Historical September climatology shows similar baseline minima around 25°C, with the current pattern reflecting typical post-summer monsoon influences rather than any anomalous cooling event. Traders appear to weight the consensus across ensemble guidance, where minor variations in shower timing or wind shifts could still nudge the recorded minimum by 1°C either side of the leading outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 4. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 4. September?
25°C 42%
26°C 32%
24°C 20%
22°C 9%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
20°C oder weniger
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
6%
24°C
20%
25°C
42%
26°C
32%
27°C
9%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30 °C oder höher
7%
25°C 42%
26°C 32%
24°C 20%
22°C 9%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
20°C oder weniger
$875 Vol.
1%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
9%
23°C
$178 Vol.
6%
24°C
$65 Vol.
20%
25°C
$1,890 Vol.
42%
26°C
$347 Vol.
32%
27°C
$0 Vol.
9%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30 °C oder höher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate overnight lows of 24–26°C on September 4 under northwest to northwesterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, with scattered showers and extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 25°C (42%) and 26°C (32%), as persistent humidity near 75–95% and modest wind speeds prevent deeper nocturnal drops while suppressing daytime maxima near 29°C. Historical September climatology shows similar baseline minima around 25°C, with the current pattern reflecting typical post-summer monsoon influences rather than any anomalous cooling event. Traders appear to weight the consensus across ensemble guidance, where minor variations in shower timing or wind shifts could still nudge the recorded minimum by 1°C either side of the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$3,355Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate overnight lows of 24–26°C on September 4 under northwest to northwesterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, with scattered showers and extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 25°C (42%) and 26°C (32%), as persistent humidity near 75–95% and modest wind speeds prevent deeper nocturnal drops while suppressing daytime maxima near 29°C. Historical September climatology shows similar baseline minima around 25°C, with the current pattern reflecting typical post-summer monsoon influences rather than any anomalous cooling event. Traders appear to weight the consensus across ensemble guidance, where minor variations in shower timing or wind shifts could still nudge the recorded minimum by 1°C either side of the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,355Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate overnight lows of 24–26°C on September 4 under northwest to northwesterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, with scattered showers and extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 25°C (42%) and 26°C (32%), as persistent humidity near 75–95% and modest wind speeds prevent deeper nocturnal drops while suppressing daytime maxima near 29°C. Historical September climatology shows similar baseline minima around 25°C, with the current pattern reflecting typical post-summer monsoon influences rather than any anomalous cooling event. Traders appear to weight the consensus across ensemble guidance, where minor variations in shower timing or wind shifts could still nudge the recorded minimum by 1°C either side of the leading outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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