Forecast uncertainty around Houston's overnight low on August 24 stems primarily from competing model guidance on radiational cooling, boundary-layer moisture, and weak frontal passage timing. High dew points near 75°F typically limit temperature drops, but clearer skies and lighter winds could enhance cooling toward the mid-60s, supporting the leading 69°F-or-below market at 30% implied probability. Conversely, stronger southerly flow or lingering cloud cover may hold the low near 80–81°F (28%), while any delayed mixing keeps readings at or above 88°F (26%). NOAA and local model runs show modest spread in 2-meter temperatures, with resolution hinging on tonight’s observed trends and the next NWS update.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Houston am 24. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Houston am 24. August?
69°F oder darunter 60%
80-81°F 37%
88°F oder höher 26%
78-79°F 21%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
69°F oder darunter
60%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
21%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
2%
88°F oder höher
26%
69°F oder darunter 60%
80-81°F 37%
88°F oder höher 26%
78-79°F 21%
NEU
NEU
24. Aug. 2026
69°F oder darunter
$5 Vol.
60%
70-71°F
$131 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
19%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
19%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
19%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
21%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
28%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
19%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
2%
88°F oder höher
$83 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty around Houston's overnight low on August 24 stems primarily from competing model guidance on radiational cooling, boundary-layer moisture, and weak frontal passage timing. High dew points near 75°F typically limit temperature drops, but clearer skies and lighter winds could enhance cooling toward the mid-60s, supporting the leading 69°F-or-below market at 30% implied probability. Conversely, stronger southerly flow or lingering cloud cover may hold the low near 80–81°F (28%), while any delayed mixing keeps readings at or above 88°F (26%). NOAA and local model runs show modest spread in 2-meter temperatures, with resolution hinging on tonight’s observed trends and the next NWS update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$229Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty around Houston's overnight low on August 24 stems primarily from competing model guidance on radiational cooling, boundary-layer moisture, and weak frontal passage timing. High dew points near 75°F typically limit temperature drops, but clearer skies and lighter winds could enhance cooling toward the mid-60s, supporting the leading 69°F-or-below market at 30% implied probability. Conversely, stronger southerly flow or lingering cloud cover may hold the low near 80–81°F (28%), while any delayed mixing keeps readings at or above 88°F (26%). NOAA and local model runs show modest spread in 2-meter temperatures, with resolution hinging on tonight’s observed trends and the next NWS update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$229Enddatum
24. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty around Houston's overnight low on August 24 stems primarily from competing model guidance on radiational cooling, boundary-layer moisture, and weak frontal passage timing. High dew points near 75°F typically limit temperature drops, but clearer skies and lighter winds could enhance cooling toward the mid-60s, supporting the leading 69°F-or-below market at 30% implied probability. Conversely, stronger southerly flow or lingering cloud cover may hold the low near 80–81°F (28%), while any delayed mixing keeps readings at or above 88°F (26%). NOAA and local model runs show modest spread in 2-meter temperatures, with resolution hinging on tonight’s observed trends and the next NWS update.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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