**Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over the Arabian Sea region are the main drivers positioning 22°C or below as the leading market outcome at 47% implied probability for Karachi’s August 23 minimum temperature.** Official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate typical late-August overnight lows of 26–28°C (79–82°F) under partly cloudy to showery conditions, consistent with climatological averages near 26–27°C. Enhanced rainfall potential from Bay of Bengal depressions or local thundershowers can increase humidity and reduce radiative cooling, yet traders appear to price in a higher chance of stronger cooling from persistent cloudiness or heavier precipitation. Shorter-range model consensus points to patchy rain on August 23 with highs near 31°C, keeping resolution sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of any showers relative to the minimum-temperature observation window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Karatschi am 23. August?
22°C oder weniger 87%
32°C oder höher 52%
30°C 51%
31°C 51%
22°C oder weniger
87%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
29%
29°C
26%
30°C
51%
31°C
51%
32°C oder höher
52%
22°C oder weniger 87%
32°C oder höher 52%
30°C 51%
31°C 51%
22°C oder weniger
87%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
29%
29°C
26%
30°C
51%
31°C
51%
32°C oder höher
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent monsoon activity and associated cloud cover over the Arabian Sea region are the main drivers positioning 22°C or below as the leading market outcome at 47% implied probability for Karachi’s August 23 minimum temperature.** Official forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate typical late-August overnight lows of 26–28°C (79–82°F) under partly cloudy to showery conditions, consistent with climatological averages near 26–27°C. Enhanced rainfall potential from Bay of Bengal depressions or local thundershowers can increase humidity and reduce radiative cooling, yet traders appear to price in a higher chance of stronger cooling from persistent cloudiness or heavier precipitation. Shorter-range model consensus points to patchy rain on August 23 with highs near 31°C, keeping resolution sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of any showers relative to the minimum-temperature observation window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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