Current ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to a minimum temperature near 18°C in Milan on September 13 under high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit strong radiational cooling overnight. This setup favors overnight lows in the 17–19°C range, consistent with climatological September averages around 16°C, though slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Trader positioning across closely matched buckets from 14–17°C reflects model spread and the resolution sensitivity to official station readings, while the elevated probability on cooler outcomes incorporates potential for localized cooling if winds weaken further or clear skies persist longer than currently indicated.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mailand am 13. September?
11°C oder niedriger 73%
17°C 47%
16°C 27%
15°C 22%
11°C oder niedriger
73%
12°C
16%
13°C
16%
14°C
19%
15°C
22%
16°C
27%
17°C
28%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
11°C oder niedriger 73%
17°C 47%
16°C 27%
15°C 22%
11°C oder niedriger
73%
12°C
16%
13°C
16%
14°C
19%
15°C
22%
16°C
27%
17°C
28%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from models such as ECMWF and GFS point to a minimum temperature near 18°C in Milan on September 13 under high pressure, light easterly winds, and partly cloudy skies that limit strong radiational cooling overnight. This setup favors overnight lows in the 17–19°C range, consistent with climatological September averages around 16°C, though slight variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer moisture could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C. Trader positioning across closely matched buckets from 14–17°C reflects model spread and the resolution sensitivity to official station readings, while the elevated probability on cooler outcomes incorporates potential for localized cooling if winds weaken further or clear skies persist longer than currently indicated.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen