Recent forecasts for Munich show a frontal system and potential thunderstorms on August 28, introducing uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling and minimum temperatures. Model runs indicate lows near the long-term average of about 12.8°C, with outcomes hinging on cloud cover, precipitation timing, and wind speeds that can either trap heat or enhance mixing. Clearer conditions would favor greater surface cooling toward 12°C or below, while persistent clouds and showers limit the drop, supporting 14–16°C readings. This scientific variability in atmospheric stability and advection, combined with limited lead time before resolution, keeps trader-implied odds balanced across the listed thresholds rather than favoring any single bin.