Recent Météo-France and ensemble model forecasts center the minimum temperature in Paris on August 21 around 14–15°C, reflecting a shift to cooler northwest airflow, greater cloud cover, and scattered showers. These conditions suppress daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low from dropping further. Historical August averages near 14–15°C provide climatological context, and the current pattern aligns closely with that baseline. Market-implied odds heavily favor 14–15°C outcomes as traders incorporate the latest model consensus and observed trends. Updated runs from official agencies will refine the precise overnight low ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 21. August?
15°C 53%
14°C 42%
13°C 27%
16°C 7%
11°C oder darunter
4%
12°C
5%
13°C
16%
14°C
31%
15°C
53%
16°C
7%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
15°C 53%
14°C 42%
13°C 27%
16°C 7%
11°C oder darunter
4%
12°C
5%
13°C
16%
14°C
31%
15°C
53%
16°C
7%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ensemble model forecasts center the minimum temperature in Paris on August 21 around 14–15°C, reflecting a shift to cooler northwest airflow, greater cloud cover, and scattered showers. These conditions suppress daytime heating while moderating overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low from dropping further. Historical August averages near 14–15°C provide climatological context, and the current pattern aligns closely with that baseline. Market-implied odds heavily favor 14–15°C outcomes as traders incorporate the latest model consensus and observed trends. Updated runs from official agencies will refine the precise overnight low ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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