**Trader consensus on the Polymarket heavily favors a 26°C low (81.5% implied probability) for Incheon on August 28, 2026, with 25°C a distant second at 15%.** This positioning stems from official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and multiple forecast models projecting an overnight minimum in the 25–26°C range, consistent with late-August climatology for the Seoul-Incheon region. Key scientific drivers include persistent cloud cover and high humidity (dew points near 24–25°C) that limit radiational cooling overnight, combined with light variable winds and a moderating marine influence from the Yellow Sea. Recent observations and short-term forecasts from sources such as Yonhap and airport METARs show early-morning readings holding near 25–27°C, with daytime highs around 29–30°C and showers or thunderstorms not substantially altering the nocturnal minimum. Model consensus has remained stable in the final 24–48 hours, reducing the chance of sharp revisions. Upcoming resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour minimum reported by Incheon International Airport observations; any unexpected clear-sky break or stronger onshore flow could nudge the outcome toward 25°C, but current conditions and guidance keep probabilities tightly clustered around 26°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 28. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 28. August?
26°C 80%
25°C 8%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$11,069 Vol.
$11,069 Vol.
28. Aug. 2026
19°C oder darunter
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
17%
26°C
80%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 80%
25°C 8%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$11,069 Vol.
$11,069 Vol.
28. Aug. 2026
19°C oder darunter
$516 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$719 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$544 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,329 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,099 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,185 Vol.
1%
25°C
$1,731 Vol.
17%
26°C
$2,910 Vol.
80%
27°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
29°C oder höher
$473 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket heavily favors a 26°C low (81.5% implied probability) for Incheon on August 28, 2026, with 25°C a distant second at 15%.** This positioning stems from official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and multiple forecast models projecting an overnight minimum in the 25–26°C range, consistent with late-August climatology for the Seoul-Incheon region.
Key scientific drivers include persistent cloud cover and high humidity (dew points near 24–25°C) that limit radiational cooling overnight, combined with light variable winds and a moderating marine influence from the Yellow Sea. Recent observations and short-term forecasts from sources such as Yonhap and airport METARs show early-morning readings holding near 25–27°C, with daytime highs around 29–30°C and showers or thunderstorms not substantially altering the nocturnal minimum. Model consensus has remained stable in the final 24–48 hours, reducing the chance of sharp revisions.
Upcoming resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour minimum reported by Incheon International Airport observations; any unexpected clear-sky break or stronger onshore flow could nudge the outcome toward 25°C, but current conditions and guidance keep probabilities tightly clustered around 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$11,069Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket heavily favors a 26°C low (81.5% implied probability) for Incheon on August 28, 2026, with 25°C a distant second at 15%.** This positioning stems from official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and multiple forecast models projecting an overnight minimum in the 25–26°C range, consistent with late-August climatology for the Seoul-Incheon region.
Key scientific drivers include persistent cloud cover and high humidity (dew points near 24–25°C) that limit radiational cooling overnight, combined with light variable winds and a moderating marine influence from the Yellow Sea. Recent observations and short-term forecasts from sources such as Yonhap and airport METARs show early-morning readings holding near 25–27°C, with daytime highs around 29–30°C and showers or thunderstorms not substantially altering the nocturnal minimum. Model consensus has remained stable in the final 24–48 hours, reducing the chance of sharp revisions.
Upcoming resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour minimum reported by Incheon International Airport observations; any unexpected clear-sky break or stronger onshore flow could nudge the outcome toward 25°C, but current conditions and guidance keep probabilities tightly clustered around 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,069Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Polymarket heavily favors a 26°C low (81.5% implied probability) for Incheon on August 28, 2026, with 25°C a distant second at 15%.** This positioning stems from official Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and multiple forecast models projecting an overnight minimum in the 25–26°C range, consistent with late-August climatology for the Seoul-Incheon region. Key scientific drivers include persistent cloud cover and high humidity (dew points near 24–25°C) that limit radiational cooling overnight, combined with light variable winds and a moderating marine influence from the Yellow Sea. Recent observations and short-term forecasts from sources such as Yonhap and airport METARs show early-morning readings holding near 25–27°C, with daytime highs around 29–30°C and showers or thunderstorms not substantially altering the nocturnal minimum. Model consensus has remained stable in the final 24–48 hours, reducing the chance of sharp revisions. Upcoming resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour minimum reported by Incheon International Airport observations; any unexpected clear-sky break or stronger onshore flow could nudge the outcome toward 25°C, but current conditions and guidance keep probabilities tightly clustered around 26°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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