Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather indicate a morning low near 16°C for Seoul on June 11, 2026, consistent with typical early-summer climatology where overnight minima range 15–18°C before daytime highs reach 25–28°C. This alignment of official guidance and ensemble consensus underpins the market's 98% implied probability for 16°C, as traders weigh the low likelihood of significant deviation given stable atmospheric conditions and absence of strong cold-air advection. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift, such as rapid radiational cooling or a late-arriving frontal boundary altering the observed minimum by 1–2°C, though model agreement and current observations make such revisions improbable before the daily low is finalized.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 11. Juni?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Seoul am 11. Juni?
16°C 98.0%
15°C 1.6%
11°C oder darunter <1%
12°C <1%
$31,379 Vol.
$31,379 Vol.
11. Juni 2026
11°C oder darunter
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
98%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C oder höher
<1%
16°C 98.0%
15°C 1.6%
11°C oder darunter <1%
12°C <1%
$31,379 Vol.
$31,379 Vol.
11. Juni 2026
11°C oder darunter
$557 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$571 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$845 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,078 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,550 Vol.
2%
16°C
$10,267 Vol.
98%
17°C
$1,984 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$10,966 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$772 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$481 Vol.
<1%
21°C oder höher
$454 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather indicate a morning low near 16°C for Seoul on June 11, 2026, consistent with typical early-summer climatology where overnight minima range 15–18°C before daytime highs reach 25–28°C. This alignment of official guidance and ensemble consensus underpins the market's 98% implied probability for 16°C, as traders weigh the low likelihood of significant deviation given stable atmospheric conditions and absence of strong cold-air advection. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift, such as rapid radiational cooling or a late-arriving frontal boundary altering the observed minimum by 1–2°C, though model agreement and current observations make such revisions improbable before the daily low is finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$31,379Enddatum
11. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather indicate a morning low near 16°C for Seoul on June 11, 2026, consistent with typical early-summer climatology where overnight minima range 15–18°C before daytime highs reach 25–28°C. This alignment of official guidance and ensemble consensus underpins the market's 98% implied probability for 16°C, as traders weigh the low likelihood of significant deviation given stable atmospheric conditions and absence of strong cold-air advection. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift, such as rapid radiational cooling or a late-arriving frontal boundary altering the observed minimum by 1–2°C, though model agreement and current observations make such revisions improbable before the daily low is finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$31,379Enddatum
11. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models such as those referenced by AccuWeather indicate a morning low near 16°C for Seoul on June 11, 2026, consistent with typical early-summer climatology where overnight minima range 15–18°C before daytime highs reach 25–28°C. This alignment of official guidance and ensemble consensus underpins the market's 98% implied probability for 16°C, as traders weigh the low likelihood of significant deviation given stable atmospheric conditions and absence of strong cold-air advection. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift, such as rapid radiational cooling or a late-arriving frontal boundary altering the observed minimum by 1–2°C, though model agreement and current observations make such revisions improbable before the daily low is finalized.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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