Current ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen indicate overnight lows of 24–26°C on September 9, driven by subtropical monsoon influences, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological agencies shows highs near 32°C with easterly winds of 8–12 km/h, where any evening clearing or reduced precipitation could allow greater surface cooling toward 25°C, while persistent cloud cover or rain favors a 26–27°C floor. Historical September baselines average 24–26°C minima, but short-term variability in boundary-layer moisture and steering patterns creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the precise minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 9. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shenzhen am 9. September?
26°C 37%
25°C 30%
27°C 27%
28°C 27%
NEU
NEU
9. Sep. 2026
22°C oder weniger
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
23%
25°C
30%
26°C
37%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C
6%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C oder höher
6%
26°C 37%
25°C 30%
27°C 27%
28°C 27%
NEU
NEU
9. Sep. 2026
22°C oder weniger
$64 Vol.
2%
23°C
$54 Vol.
9%
24°C
$0 Vol.
23%
25°C
$0 Vol.
30%
26°C
$0 Vol.
37%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$0 Vol.
27%
29°C
$0 Vol.
6%
30°C
$77 Vol.
5%
31°C
$97 Vol.
1%
32°C oder höher
$50 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen indicate overnight lows of 24–26°C on September 9, driven by subtropical monsoon influences, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological agencies shows highs near 32°C with easterly winds of 8–12 km/h, where any evening clearing or reduced precipitation could allow greater surface cooling toward 25°C, while persistent cloud cover or rain favors a 26–27°C floor. Historical September baselines average 24–26°C minima, but short-term variability in boundary-layer moisture and steering patterns creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$341Enddatum
9. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen indicate overnight lows of 24–26°C on September 9, driven by subtropical monsoon influences, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological agencies shows highs near 32°C with easterly winds of 8–12 km/h, where any evening clearing or reduced precipitation could allow greater surface cooling toward 25°C, while persistent cloud cover or rain favors a 26–27°C floor. Historical September baselines average 24–26°C minima, but short-term variability in boundary-layer moisture and steering patterns creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$341Enddatum
9. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts for Shenzhen indicate overnight lows of 24–26°C on September 9, driven by subtropical monsoon influences, high humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and Chinese meteorological agencies shows highs near 32°C with easterly winds of 8–12 km/h, where any evening clearing or reduced precipitation could allow greater surface cooling toward 25°C, while persistent cloud cover or rain favors a 26–27°C floor. Historical September baselines average 24–26°C minima, but short-term variability in boundary-layer moisture and steering patterns creates the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these outcomes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the precise minimum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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