Recent forecasts from agencies and models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 22–24°C on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, following a warm period with daytime highs near 30°C. Trader positioning remains split because small shifts in cloud cover, dew points, or localized urban effects in Wuhan can alter the overnight low by 2–3°C, while a strengthening high-pressure system could push readings higher. The 43% implied probability on 16°C or below reflects caution around the cooling trend into mid-September, whereas the 35.5% on 26°C or higher captures upside risk from persistent warmth; new model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow these ranges.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Wuhan am 15. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Wuhan am 15. September?
16°C oder darunter 83%
26°C oder höher 72%
25°C 39%
21°C 31%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
16°C oder darunter
83%
17°C
17%
18°C
17%
19°C
5%
20°C
22%
21°C
31%
22°C
22%
23°C
22%
24°C
21%
25°C
39%
26°C oder höher
72%
16°C oder darunter 83%
26°C oder höher 72%
25°C 39%
21°C 31%
NEU
NEU
15. Sep. 2026
16°C oder darunter
$10 Vol.
83%
17°C
$10 Vol.
17%
18°C
$10 Vol.
17%
19°C
$0 Vol.
5%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
31%
22°C
$0 Vol.
22%
23°C
$0 Vol.
22%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$10 Vol.
39%
26°C oder höher
$10 Vol.
72%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies and models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 22–24°C on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, following a warm period with daytime highs near 30°C. Trader positioning remains split because small shifts in cloud cover, dew points, or localized urban effects in Wuhan can alter the overnight low by 2–3°C, while a strengthening high-pressure system could push readings higher. The 43% implied probability on 16°C or below reflects caution around the cooling trend into mid-September, whereas the 35.5% on 26°C or higher captures upside risk from persistent warmth; new model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volumen
$50Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies and models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 22–24°C on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, following a warm period with daytime highs near 30°C. Trader positioning remains split because small shifts in cloud cover, dew points, or localized urban effects in Wuhan can alter the overnight low by 2–3°C, while a strengthening high-pressure system could push readings higher. The 43% implied probability on 16°C or below reflects caution around the cooling trend into mid-September, whereas the 35.5% on 26°C or higher captures upside risk from persistent warmth; new model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$50Enddatum
15. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies and models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature near 22–24°C on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow, following a warm period with daytime highs near 30°C. Trader positioning remains split because small shifts in cloud cover, dew points, or localized urban effects in Wuhan can alter the overnight low by 2–3°C, while a strengthening high-pressure system could push readings higher. The 43% implied probability on 16°C or below reflects caution around the cooling trend into mid-September, whereas the 35.5% on 26°C or higher captures upside risk from persistent warmth; new model runs and observational updates over the next 48 hours will likely narrow these ranges.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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