Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Zhengzhou of 17–21°C on September 15, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight with light southerly winds and dew points near 15–18°C. This range reflects typical early-autumn radiative cooling under stable high pressure, with limited cloud cover allowing temperatures to drop close to climatological September lows around 17°C. Model consensus supports the market's leading 17°C outcome at 55% implied probability, while slight discrepancies in boundary-layer moisture and wind forecasts sustain 45% odds on 15°C or below or exactly 16°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will clarify any last adjustments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Zhengzhou am 15. September?
17°C 99%
15°C oder niedriger 1.0%
16°C 1.0%
18°C <1%
$2,082 Vol.
$2,082 Vol.
15°C oder niedriger
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Ja
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C oder höher
Nein
17°C 99%
15°C oder niedriger 1.0%
16°C 1.0%
18°C <1%
$2,082 Vol.
$2,082 Vol.
15°C oder niedriger
Nein
16°C
Nein
17°C
Ja
18°C
Nein
19°C
Nein
20°C
Nein
21°C
Nein
22°C
Nein
23°C
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Zhengzhou of 17–21°C on September 15, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight with light southerly winds and dew points near 15–18°C. This range reflects typical early-autumn radiative cooling under stable high pressure, with limited cloud cover allowing temperatures to drop close to climatological September lows around 17°C. Model consensus supports the market's leading 17°C outcome at 55% implied probability, while slight discrepancies in boundary-layer moisture and wind forecasts sustain 45% odds on 15°C or below or exactly 16°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will clarify any last adjustments before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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