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Wahlen·Äthiopien

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Wahlen·Äthiopien

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed 96.3%

Berhanu Nega 1.4%

Belete Molla <1%

Alesa Mengesha <1%

Polymarket
NEU

Abiy Ahmed 96.3%

Berhanu Nega 1.4%

Belete Molla <1%

Alesa Mengesha <1%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Abiy Ahmed

Abiy Ahmed

$2,279 Vol.

96%

icon for Berhanu Nega

Berhanu Nega

$822 Vol.

1%

icon for Belete Molla

Belete Molla

$331 Vol.

1%

icon for Alesa Mengesha

Alesa Mengesha

$662 Vol.

1%

icon for Demeke Mekonnen

Demeke Mekonnen

$1,263 Vol.

<1%

icon for Shimelis Abdisa

Shimelis Abdisa

$822 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gedion Timothewos

Gedion Timothewos

$831 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adanech Abiebie

Adanech Abiebie

$831 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors incumbent Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's continuation, reflecting Prosperity Party dominance ahead of the June 1, 2026 general election for the House of Peoples' Representatives, where the PM is selected. Recent reports indicate the ruling party faces no opposition in nearly half of constituencies, securing parliamentary control in advance despite lingering security concerns in regions like Amhara and Oromia. Abiy's recent announcements of record $10 billion export revenues and manufacturing revival bolster economic momentum. While low-probability challengers like Berhanu Nega trail, scenarios such as opposition surges, no-confidence votes, or election disruptions could shift odds, though historical incumbency and party strength make upsets unlikely.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,841
Enddatum
1. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors incumbent Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's continuation, reflecting Prosperity Party dominance ahead of the June 1, 2026 general election for the House of Peoples' Representatives, where the PM is selected. Recent reports indicate the ruling party faces no opposition in nearly half of constituencies, securing parliamentary control in advance despite lingering security concerns in regions like Amhara and Oromia. Abiy's recent announcements of record $10 billion export revenues and manufacturing revival bolster economic momentum. While low-probability challengers like Berhanu Nega trail, scenarios such as opposition surges, no-confidence votes, or election disruptions could shift odds, though historical incumbency and party strength make upsets unlikely.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$7,841
Enddatum
1. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Abiy Ahmed" mit 96%, gefolgt von „Berhanu Nega" mit 1%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 96¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 96% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 27, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 8 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" ist „Abiy Ahmed" mit 96%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 96% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Berhanu Nega" mit 1%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.