NY-10 remains one of the most reliably Democratic districts in the country, with a Cook PVI of D+32 and consistent general-election margins above 60 points in recent cycles. Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination after defeating incumbent Dan Goldman by roughly 25 points in the June 23, 2026 primary, consolidating support from progressive and establishment factions. The Republican and independent fields have produced no credible challengers capable of narrowing the gap in this urban Manhattan-Brooklyn seat. Trader consensus therefore prices the Democratic nominee at 96.9 percent, reflecting both the district’s structural partisan imbalance and the absence of any late-cycle developments—such as a major scandal or unexpected national wave—that have historically altered outcomes in comparably safe seats. A reversal would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or candidate viability before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNY-10 Wahlsieger
NY-10 Wahlsieger
$52,226 Vol.
$52,226 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
97%
Republikanische Partei
2%
$52,226 Vol.
$52,226 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$16,728 Vol.
97%
Republikanische Partei
$35,498 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-10 remains one of the most reliably Democratic districts in the country, with a Cook PVI of D+32 and consistent general-election margins above 60 points in recent cycles. Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination after defeating incumbent Dan Goldman by roughly 25 points in the June 23, 2026 primary, consolidating support from progressive and establishment factions. The Republican and independent fields have produced no credible challengers capable of narrowing the gap in this urban Manhattan-Brooklyn seat. Trader consensus therefore prices the Democratic nominee at 96.9 percent, reflecting both the district’s structural partisan imbalance and the absence of any late-cycle developments—such as a major scandal or unexpected national wave—that have historically altered outcomes in comparably safe seats. A reversal would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or candidate viability before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$52,226Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-10 remains one of the most reliably Democratic districts in the country, with a Cook PVI of D+32 and consistent general-election margins above 60 points in recent cycles. Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination after defeating incumbent Dan Goldman by roughly 25 points in the June 23, 2026 primary, consolidating support from progressive and establishment factions. The Republican and independent fields have produced no credible challengers capable of narrowing the gap in this urban Manhattan-Brooklyn seat. Trader consensus therefore prices the Democratic nominee at 96.9 percent, reflecting both the district’s structural partisan imbalance and the absence of any late-cycle developments—such as a major scandal or unexpected national wave—that have historically altered outcomes in comparably safe seats. A reversal would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or candidate viability before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$52,226Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-10 remains one of the most reliably Democratic districts in the country, with a Cook PVI of D+32 and consistent general-election margins above 60 points in recent cycles. Brad Lander secured the Democratic nomination after defeating incumbent Dan Goldman by roughly 25 points in the June 23, 2026 primary, consolidating support from progressive and establishment factions. The Republican and independent fields have produced no credible challengers capable of narrowing the gap in this urban Manhattan-Brooklyn seat. Trader consensus therefore prices the Democratic nominee at 96.9 percent, reflecting both the district’s structural partisan imbalance and the absence of any late-cycle developments—such as a major scandal or unexpected national wave—that have historically altered outcomes in comparably safe seats. A reversal would require an unprecedented shift in turnout or candidate viability before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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