The Paraíba 2026 gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented and competitive heading into October, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty across a wide field rather than any dominant frontrunner. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from late May showed Lucas Ribeiro (PP) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) in a technical first-round tie at roughly 30% and 28%, followed by Efraim Filho (PL) near 19%, consistent with earlier surveys that have fluctuated between these names since early 2026. Cícero Lucena’s April resignation as João Pessoa mayor to enter the contest consolidated some MDB-aligned support but has not produced a clear separation, while alliances, regional voting patterns in Campina Grande and the interior, and second-round runoff dynamics continue to keep multiple outcomes viable in the eyes of bettors. No major new endorsements, scandals, or campaign shifts have altered the balance in the past month.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertCícero Lucena 32%
Efraim Filho 20%
Romero Rodrigues 7.3%
Nilvan Ferreira 5.8%
$16,077 Vol.
$16,077 Vol.
5. Okt. 2026
Cícero Lucena
32%
Efraim Filho
29%
Romero Rodrigues
7%
Nilvan Ferreira
6%
Flávio Lúcio
2%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%
Marcelo Queiroga
35%
Cícero Lucena 32%
Efraim Filho 20%
Romero Rodrigues 7.3%
Nilvan Ferreira 5.8%
$16,077 Vol.
$16,077 Vol.
5. Okt. 2026
Cícero Lucena
$12,558 Vol.
32%
Efraim Filho
$1,014 Vol.
29%
Romero Rodrigues
$735 Vol.
7%
Nilvan Ferreira
$81 Vol.
6%
Flávio Lúcio
$170 Vol.
2%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$1,389 Vol.
1%
Marcelo Queiroga
$131 Vol.
35%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraíba 2026 gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented and competitive heading into October, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty across a wide field rather than any dominant frontrunner. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from late May showed Lucas Ribeiro (PP) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) in a technical first-round tie at roughly 30% and 28%, followed by Efraim Filho (PL) near 19%, consistent with earlier surveys that have fluctuated between these names since early 2026. Cícero Lucena’s April resignation as João Pessoa mayor to enter the contest consolidated some MDB-aligned support but has not produced a clear separation, while alliances, regional voting patterns in Campina Grande and the interior, and second-round runoff dynamics continue to keep multiple outcomes viable in the eyes of bettors. No major new endorsements, scandals, or campaign shifts have altered the balance in the past month.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Volumen
$16,077Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraíba 2026 gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented and competitive heading into October, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty across a wide field rather than any dominant frontrunner. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from late May showed Lucas Ribeiro (PP) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) in a technical first-round tie at roughly 30% and 28%, followed by Efraim Filho (PL) near 19%, consistent with earlier surveys that have fluctuated between these names since early 2026. Cícero Lucena’s April resignation as João Pessoa mayor to enter the contest consolidated some MDB-aligned support but has not produced a clear separation, while alliances, regional voting patterns in Campina Grande and the interior, and second-round runoff dynamics continue to keep multiple outcomes viable in the eyes of bettors. No major new endorsements, scandals, or campaign shifts have altered the balance in the past month.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$16,077Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba 2026 gubernatorial race remains highly fragmented and competitive heading into October, with trader pricing reflecting uncertainty across a wide field rather than any dominant frontrunner. Recent Real Time Big Data polling from late May showed Lucas Ribeiro (PP) and Cícero Lucena (MDB) in a technical first-round tie at roughly 30% and 28%, followed by Efraim Filho (PL) near 19%, consistent with earlier surveys that have fluctuated between these names since early 2026. Cícero Lucena’s April resignation as João Pessoa mayor to enter the contest consolidated some MDB-aligned support but has not produced a clear separation, while alliances, regional voting patterns in Campina Grande and the interior, and second-round runoff dynamics continue to keep multiple outcomes viable in the eyes of bettors. No major new endorsements, scandals, or campaign shifts have altered the balance in the past month.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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