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Politics·São Tomé And Príncipe

São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner

icon for São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner
Politics·São Tomé And Príncipe

São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner

Elsa Pinto 45%

Carlos Vila Nova 45%

Nino Monteiro 44%

Jorge Bom Jesus 44%

Polymarket
NEU

Elsa Pinto 45%

Carlos Vila Nova 45%

Nino Monteiro 44%

Jorge Bom Jesus 44%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Elsa Pinto

Elsa Pinto

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Carlos Vila Nova

Carlos Vila Nova

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Nino Monteiro

Nino Monteiro

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Jorge Bom Jesus

Jorge Bom Jesus

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Nito Abreu

Nito Abreu

$0 Vol.

43%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.The São Tomé and Príncipe presidential race remains tightly balanced ahead of the July 19 first round because a crowded field of candidates, including incumbent Carlos Vila Nova of the ADI party, is expected to fragment the vote in a two-round system that requires an outright majority. Recent constitutional disputes over cabinet changes and institutional tensions have added uncertainty without consolidating support behind any single contender. Traders see limited separation as opposition figures such as Nito Abreu, Jorge Bom Jesus, and others compete for similar voter bases ahead of September legislative elections. Clearer polling trends, formal alliances, or last-minute candidate withdrawals could shift implied probabilities, while the absence of a dominant frontrunner keeps first-round odds compressed across multiple outcomes.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
19. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 2, 2026, 3:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.The São Tomé and Príncipe presidential race remains tightly balanced ahead of the July 19 first round because a crowded field of candidates, including incumbent Carlos Vila Nova of the ADI party, is expected to fragment the vote in a two-round system that requires an outright majority. Recent constitutional disputes over cabinet changes and institutional tensions have added uncertainty without consolidating support behind any single contender. Traders see limited separation as opposition figures such as Nito Abreu, Jorge Bom Jesus, and others compete for similar voter bases ahead of September legislative elections. Clearer polling trends, formal alliances, or last-minute candidate withdrawals could shift implied probabilities, while the absence of a dominant frontrunner keeps first-round odds compressed across multiple outcomes.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
19. Juli 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 2, 2026, 3:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026, with a potential second round to be scheduled if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, this market will resolve to the winner of the specified election. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Elsa Pinto" mit 45%, gefolgt von „Carlos Vila Nova" mit 45%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 45¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jul 2, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 5 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner" ist „Elsa Pinto" mit 45%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Carlos Vila Nova" mit 45%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „São Tomé Presidential Election First Round Winner" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.