Ongoing US-Iran negotiations over a memorandum of understanding to end recent hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and establish a timeline for nuclear restrictions have supported a 60.5 percent trader consensus on reaching a formal agreement before 2027. Recent reports indicate both sides are close to finalizing this preliminary framework, which would launch 30 days of detailed talks on uranium enrichment limits, IAEA inspections, and sanctions relief. Persistent gaps remain, including the length of any enrichment moratorium and verification mechanisms, yet the resumption of talks in early 2026 following protests and military actions has sustained diplomatic momentum. Upcoming developments, such as further mediation sessions, could narrow these differences or reveal barriers that affect resolution before the end of 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$1,330,671 Vol.
$1,330,671 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$1,330,671 Vol.
$1,330,671 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations over a memorandum of understanding to end recent hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and establish a timeline for nuclear restrictions have supported a 60.5 percent trader consensus on reaching a formal agreement before 2027. Recent reports indicate both sides are close to finalizing this preliminary framework, which would launch 30 days of detailed talks on uranium enrichment limits, IAEA inspections, and sanctions relief. Persistent gaps remain, including the length of any enrichment moratorium and verification mechanisms, yet the resumption of talks in early 2026 following protests and military actions has sustained diplomatic momentum. Upcoming developments, such as further mediation sessions, could narrow these differences or reveal barriers that affect resolution before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
Volumen
$1,330,671Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Ongoing US-Iran negotiations over a memorandum of understanding to end recent hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and establish a timeline for nuclear restrictions have supported a 60.5 percent trader consensus on reaching a formal agreement before 2027. Recent reports indicate both sides are close to finalizing this preliminary framework, which would launch 30 days of detailed talks on uranium enrichment limits, IAEA inspections, and sanctions relief. Persistent gaps remain, including the length of any enrichment moratorium and verification mechanisms, yet the resumption of talks in early 2026 following protests and military actions has sustained diplomatic momentum. Upcoming developments, such as further mediation sessions, could narrow these differences or reveal barriers that affect resolution before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volumen
$1,330,671Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations over a memorandum of understanding to end recent hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and establish a timeline for nuclear restrictions have supported a 60.5 percent trader consensus on reaching a formal agreement before 2027. Recent reports indicate both sides are close to finalizing this preliminary framework, which would launch 30 days of detailed talks on uranium enrichment limits, IAEA inspections, and sanctions relief. Persistent gaps remain, including the length of any enrichment moratorium and verification mechanisms, yet the resumption of talks in early 2026 following protests and military actions has sustained diplomatic momentum. Upcoming developments, such as further mediation sessions, could narrow these differences or reveal barriers that affect resolution before the end of 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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