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icon for Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?
Wahlen·Weltwahlen

Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?

icon for Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?
Wahlen·Weltwahlen

Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?

Einiges Russland (ER) 61%

Neue Leute (NL) 29.8%

Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR) 5.3%

Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF) 3.0%

Polymarket

$8,231,114 Vol.

Einiges Russland (ER) 61%

Neue Leute (NL) 29.8%

Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR) 5.3%

Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF) 3.0%

Polymarket

$8,231,114 Vol.

icon for Einiges Russland (ER)

Einiges Russland (ER)

$2,147,834 Vol.

61%

icon for Neue Leute (NL)

Neue Leute (NL)

$1,054,677 Vol.

30%

icon for Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR)

Liberaldemokratische Partei Russlands (LDPR)

$2,276,415 Vol.

5%

icon for Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF)

Kommunistische Partei der Russischen Föderation (KPRF)

$658,279 Vol.

3%

icon for Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP)

Gerechtes Russland – Für die Wahrheit (SRZP)

$574,590 Vol.

1%

icon for Rodina

Rodina

$936,290 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bürgerplattform (GP)

Bürgerplattform (GP)

$583,145 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the largest share of seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its entrenched position within Russia’s managed electoral system and recent regional gains that boosted its performance by double digits compared with prior cycles. Polling from state-linked firms shows the party holding 35 to 53 percent support, far ahead of New People, which trails at 6 to 17 percent amid fluctuating second-place readings, while LDPR, KPRF, and smaller parties remain in low single digits. Kremlin preparations, including the January 2026 unveiling of a pro-war candidate list headed by figures such as Dmitry Medvedev and Sergei Lavrov, underscore institutional efforts to consolidate support ahead of the vote. These dynamics align with historical patterns of the ruling party’s dominance in proportional and single-member district contests, though the four-month timeline leaves room for shifts driven by voter turnout or late campaign developments.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$8,231,114
Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader assessments for securing the largest share of seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, reflecting its entrenched position within Russia’s managed electoral system and recent regional gains that boosted its performance by double digits compared with prior cycles. Polling from state-linked firms shows the party holding 35 to 53 percent support, far ahead of New People, which trails at 6 to 17 percent amid fluctuating second-place readings, while LDPR, KPRF, and smaller parties remain in low single digits. Kremlin preparations, including the January 2026 unveiling of a pro-war candidate list headed by figures such as Dmitry Medvedev and Sergei Lavrov, underscore institutional efforts to consolidate support ahead of the vote. These dynamics align with historical patterns of the ruling party’s dominance in proportional and single-member district contests, though the four-month timeline leaves room for shifts driven by voter turnout or late campaign developments.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$8,231,114
Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Einiges Russland (ER)" mit 61%, gefolgt von „Neue Leute (NL)" mit 30%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 61¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 61% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $8.2 million generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 7, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 7 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Welche Partei wird die meisten Sitze bei den russischen Parlamentswahlen gewinnen?" ist „Einiges Russland (ER)" mit 61%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 61% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Neue Leute (NL)" mit 30%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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