Trader consensus prices the top outcome—"Any U.S. House member"—at just 5% for physically entering Iran's terrestrial territory by June 30 amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran war, reflecting skepticism over diplomatic breakthroughs in a conflict marked by airstrikes, missile exchanges, and a U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz since February. President Trump's May 11 rejection of Tehran's counterproposal—demanding an end to the blockade, sanctions relief, and Hormuz sovereignty recognition—has left ceasefire talks on life support, while IRGC forces signal military readiness through regional probes. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's recent suggestion of entering to secure enriched uranium stockpiles underscores escalation risks, with no verified ground entries to date. Trump's May 13 Beijing summit with Xi Jinping represents the next potential diplomatic catalyst, though active hostilities pose significant barriers to any congressional visits.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$387,411 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
Irgendein Mitglied des US-Repräsentantenhauses
5%
Irgendein US-Senator
3%
Jared Kushner
2%
Marco Rubio
2%
Pete Hegseth
2%
JD Vance
2%
Benjamin Netanjahu
1%
Donald Trump
<1%
$387,411 Vol.
Irgendein Mitglied des US-Repräsentantenhauses
$86,747 Vol.
5%
Irgendein US-Senator
$29,990 Vol.
3%
Jared Kushner
$15,604 Vol.
2%
Marco Rubio
$21,470 Vol.
2%
Pete Hegseth
$92,649 Vol.
2%
JD Vance
$30,931 Vol.
2%
Benjamin Netanjahu
$42,282 Vol.
1%
Donald Trump
$67,738 Vol.
<1%
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices the top outcome—"Any U.S. House member"—at just 5% for physically entering Iran's terrestrial territory by June 30 amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran war, reflecting skepticism over diplomatic breakthroughs in a conflict marked by airstrikes, missile exchanges, and a U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz since February. President Trump's May 11 rejection of Tehran's counterproposal—demanding an end to the blockade, sanctions relief, and Hormuz sovereignty recognition—has left ceasefire talks on life support, while IRGC forces signal military readiness through regional probes. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's recent suggestion of entering to secure enriched uranium stockpiles underscores escalation risks, with no verified ground entries to date. Trump's May 13 Beijing summit with Xi Jinping represents the next potential diplomatic catalyst, though active hostilities pose significant barriers to any congressional visits.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
Volumen
$387,411Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices the top outcome—"Any U.S. House member"—at just 5% for physically entering Iran's terrestrial territory by June 30 amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran war, reflecting skepticism over diplomatic breakthroughs in a conflict marked by airstrikes, missile exchanges, and a U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz since February. President Trump's May 11 rejection of Tehran's counterproposal—demanding an end to the blockade, sanctions relief, and Hormuz sovereignty recognition—has left ceasefire talks on life support, while IRGC forces signal military readiness through regional probes. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's recent suggestion of entering to secure enriched uranium stockpiles underscores escalation risks, with no verified ground entries to date. Trump's May 13 Beijing summit with Xi Jinping represents the next potential diplomatic catalyst, though active hostilities pose significant barriers to any congressional visits.
If the listed person visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed person physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not the listed person enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
For markets referring to “any U.S. House member” or “any U.S. Senator,” the individual must be a duly sworn and actively serving member of the respective chamber of the United States Congress at the time of entry into Iran. Former members, members-elect who have not yet been sworn in, and individuals who have resigned, been expelled, or otherwise ceased serving prior to entry will not qualify for a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$387,411Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 1, 2026, 3:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices the top outcome—"Any U.S. House member"—at just 5% for physically entering Iran's terrestrial territory by June 30 amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran war, reflecting skepticism over diplomatic breakthroughs in a conflict marked by airstrikes, missile exchanges, and a U.S. naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz since February. President Trump's May 11 rejection of Tehran's counterproposal—demanding an end to the blockade, sanctions relief, and Hormuz sovereignty recognition—has left ceasefire talks on life support, while IRGC forces signal military readiness through regional probes. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's recent suggestion of entering to secure enriched uranium stockpiles underscores escalation risks, with no verified ground entries to date. Trump's May 13 Beijing summit with Xi Jinping represents the next potential diplomatic catalyst, though active hostilities pose significant barriers to any congressional visits.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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