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Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

icon for Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?

<1% Chance
Polymarket

$367,883 Vol.

<1% Chance
Polymarket

$367,883 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Putin’s explicit June 5 rejection of Zelenskyy’s June 4 open-letter proposal for direct talks is the dominant driver of the 99.1 % “No” probability.** The Russian leader stated he sees “no point” in a meeting until Moscow’s objectives are met, underscoring Russia’s insistence on territorial concessions and security guarantees that Ukraine rejects. U.S.-brokered trilateral talks in Geneva and Abu Dhabi have been on pause since late February amid competing priorities in the Middle East, with only prisoner exchanges providing limited continuity. No bilateral summit is scheduled in the remaining twelve days, and both sides maintain maximalist positions without credible signals of reversal. While a sudden third-party-mediated breakthrough or last-minute diplomatic reversal cannot be entirely ruled out, the absence of preparatory steps or mutual concessions leaves trader consensus firmly against any leader-level encounter by the June 30 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$367,883
Enddatum
30. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Putin’s explicit June 5 rejection of Zelenskyy’s June 4 open-letter proposal for direct talks is the dominant driver of the 99.1 % “No” probability.** The Russian leader stated he sees “no point” in a meeting until Moscow’s objectives are met, underscoring Russia’s insistence on territorial concessions and security guarantees that Ukraine rejects. U.S.-brokered trilateral talks in Geneva and Abu Dhabi have been on pause since late February amid competing priorities in the Middle East, with only prisoner exchanges providing limited continuity. No bilateral summit is scheduled in the remaining twelve days, and both sides maintain maximalist positions without credible signals of reversal. While a sudden third-party-mediated breakthrough or last-minute diplomatic reversal cannot be entirely ruled out, the absence of preparatory steps or mutual concessions leaves trader consensus firmly against any leader-level encounter by the June 30 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$367,883
Enddatum
30. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 23, 2025, 5:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Volodymyr Zelenskyy between September 23 ET, and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Zelenskyy and Putin are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

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Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?" liegt bei 0% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 0% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

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