NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies maintains continuous sky surveys with ground- and space-based telescopes that have cataloged the vast majority of objects large enough to produce a 1-megaton atmospheric explosion, roughly 20–30 meters across. No Sentry-listed impactors are forecast for 2026, and recent safe passes by objects such as 2026 GL2 underscore the precision of orbital tracking. Traders assign 98.3% probability to “No” because statistically such events occur only a few times per decade and none are currently projected. The slim remaining uncertainty stems from the possibility of a late discovery of a small, previously undetected body on a direct trajectory, though improving survey cadence and radar follow-up make that outcome highly unlikely before year-end resolution.