Recent opinion polls ahead of Sunday’s Andalusia regional election project the far-right Vox party securing between 13 and 20 seats in the 109-seat parliament, with most surveys clustering in the 15–18 range. This positioning reflects stable but modest voter support for Vox at roughly 13–16 percent, alongside the center-right People’s Party’s lead toward or beyond the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. Analysts note that Vox’s emphasis on “Spaniards first” policies and regional coalition leverage has not translated into significant gains in this contest, while the governing PP’s moderate approach under Juanma Moreno has consolidated support. Traders appear to view the 16–18 seat band as the most probable outcome based on these consistent polling trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAndalusia Regional Election: VOX # of Seats
Andalusia Regional Election: VOX # of Seats
16-18 49%
19-21 25%
13-15 25%
22+ 8.2%
$8,794 Vol.
$8,794 Vol.
17 may 2026
<13
4%
13-15
25%
16-18
49%
19-21
20%
22+
8%
16-18 49%
19-21 25%
13-15 25%
22+ 8.2%
$8,794 Vol.
$8,794 Vol.
17 may 2026
<13
$1,364 Vol.
4%
13-15
$945 Vol.
25%
16-18
$1,295 Vol.
49%
19-21
$2,070 Vol.
20%
22+
$3,120 Vol.
8%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sunday’s Andalusia regional election project the far-right Vox party securing between 13 and 20 seats in the 109-seat parliament, with most surveys clustering in the 15–18 range. This positioning reflects stable but modest voter support for Vox at roughly 13–16 percent, alongside the center-right People’s Party’s lead toward or beyond the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. Analysts note that Vox’s emphasis on “Spaniards first” policies and regional coalition leverage has not translated into significant gains in this contest, while the governing PP’s moderate approach under Juanma Moreno has consolidated support. Traders appear to view the 16–18 seat band as the most probable outcome based on these consistent polling trends.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
Volumen
$8,794Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent opinion polls ahead of Sunday’s Andalusia regional election project the far-right Vox party securing between 13 and 20 seats in the 109-seat parliament, with most surveys clustering in the 15–18 range. This positioning reflects stable but modest voter support for Vox at roughly 13–16 percent, alongside the center-right People’s Party’s lead toward or beyond the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. Analysts note that Vox’s emphasis on “Spaniards first” policies and regional coalition leverage has not translated into significant gains in this contest, while the governing PP’s moderate approach under Juanma Moreno has consolidated support. Traders appear to view the 16–18 seat band as the most probable outcome based on these consistent polling trends.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Volumen
$8,794Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent opinion polls ahead of Sunday’s Andalusia regional election project the far-right Vox party securing between 13 and 20 seats in the 109-seat parliament, with most surveys clustering in the 15–18 range. This positioning reflects stable but modest voter support for Vox at roughly 13–16 percent, alongside the center-right People’s Party’s lead toward or beyond the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. Analysts note that Vox’s emphasis on “Spaniards first” policies and regional coalition leverage has not translated into significant gains in this contest, while the governing PP’s moderate approach under Juanma Moreno has consolidated support. Traders appear to view the 16–18 seat band as the most probable outcome based on these consistent polling trends.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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