Civil Contract maintains its commanding lead in the upcoming June 7 parliamentary elections because recent voter surveys show the incumbent party holding a plurality of committed support while opposition forces remain fragmented and below key thresholds. The campaign period, which opened on May 8, has highlighted the ruling party's organizational edge and the electorate's preference for continuity in foreign policy amid ongoing regional tensions. Traders assign it a 91.5 percent implied probability of finishing first, consistent with polling trends that project vote shares between 40 and 51 percent once undecided respondents are allocated. Challenges could still emerge if opposition blocs consolidate around a single challenger or if turnout surges among disillusioned voters focused on post-Karabakh security and economic issues.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoContrato Civil 92%
Strong Armenia 5.8%
Alianza Armenia 1.5%
Congreso Nacional Armenio <1%
$206,278 Vol.
$206,278 Vol.
7 jun 2026
Contrato Civil
92%
Strong Armenia
6%
Alianza Armenia
1%
Congreso Nacional Armenio
1%
Prosperará Armenia
<1%
Armenia Brillante
<1%
Alianza Tengo Honor
<1%
Partido Hanrapetutyun
<1%
Heritage
<1%
Orinats Yerkir
<1%
Contrato Civil 92%
Strong Armenia 5.8%
Alianza Armenia 1.5%
Congreso Nacional Armenio <1%
$206,278 Vol.
$206,278 Vol.
7 jun 2026
Contrato Civil
$63,992 Vol.
92%
Strong Armenia
$10,611 Vol.
6%
Alianza Armenia
$59,208 Vol.
1%
Congreso Nacional Armenio
$13,647 Vol.
1%
Prosperará Armenia
$15,231 Vol.
<1%
Armenia Brillante
$8,256 Vol.
<1%
Alianza Tengo Honor
$7,849 Vol.
<1%
Partido Hanrapetutyun
$8,382 Vol.
<1%
Heritage
$8,752 Vol.
<1%
Orinats Yerkir
$10,350 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract maintains its commanding lead in the upcoming June 7 parliamentary elections because recent voter surveys show the incumbent party holding a plurality of committed support while opposition forces remain fragmented and below key thresholds. The campaign period, which opened on May 8, has highlighted the ruling party's organizational edge and the electorate's preference for continuity in foreign policy amid ongoing regional tensions. Traders assign it a 91.5 percent implied probability of finishing first, consistent with polling trends that project vote shares between 40 and 51 percent once undecided respondents are allocated. Challenges could still emerge if opposition blocs consolidate around a single challenger or if turnout surges among disillusioned voters focused on post-Karabakh security and economic issues.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
Volumen
$206,278Fecha de finalización
7 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Civil Contract maintains its commanding lead in the upcoming June 7 parliamentary elections because recent voter surveys show the incumbent party holding a plurality of committed support while opposition forces remain fragmented and below key thresholds. The campaign period, which opened on May 8, has highlighted the ruling party's organizational edge and the electorate's preference for continuity in foreign policy amid ongoing regional tensions. Traders assign it a 91.5 percent implied probability of finishing first, consistent with polling trends that project vote shares between 40 and 51 percent once undecided respondents are allocated. Challenges could still emerge if opposition blocs consolidate around a single challenger or if turnout surges among disillusioned voters focused on post-Karabakh security and economic issues.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
Volumen
$206,278Fecha de finalización
7 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Civil Contract maintains its commanding lead in the upcoming June 7 parliamentary elections because recent voter surveys show the incumbent party holding a plurality of committed support while opposition forces remain fragmented and below key thresholds. The campaign period, which opened on May 8, has highlighted the ruling party's organizational edge and the electorate's preference for continuity in foreign policy amid ongoing regional tensions. Traders assign it a 91.5 percent implied probability of finishing first, consistent with polling trends that project vote shares between 40 and 51 percent once undecided respondents are allocated. Challenges could still emerge if opposition blocs consolidate around a single challenger or if turnout surges among disillusioned voters focused on post-Karabakh security and economic issues.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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