Arizona's 5th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat in the East Valley suburbs, where the incumbent Andy Biggs's retirement to pursue the 2026 gubernatorial race opened the nomination. The July 21, 2026, Republican primary settled on former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb as nominee after he defeated challenger Daniel Keenan. Democrats nominated Elizabeth Lee in their concurrent primary. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the district's voting patterns, turnout dynamics, and historical margins continue to favor the Republican candidate in the eyes of traders, keeping the implied probability of a GOP victory well above 80 percent. No major shifts from polling, endorsements, or campaign events have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAZ-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
AZ-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$24,678 Vol.
$24,678 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
88%
Partido Demócrata
14%
$24,678 Vol.
$24,678 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$17,002 Vol.
88%
Partido Demócrata
$7,676 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 5th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat in the East Valley suburbs, where the incumbent Andy Biggs's retirement to pursue the 2026 gubernatorial race opened the nomination. The July 21, 2026, Republican primary settled on former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb as nominee after he defeated challenger Daniel Keenan. Democrats nominated Elizabeth Lee in their concurrent primary. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the district's voting patterns, turnout dynamics, and historical margins continue to favor the Republican candidate in the eyes of traders, keeping the implied probability of a GOP victory well above 80 percent. No major shifts from polling, endorsements, or campaign events have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volumen
$24,678Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 5th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat in the East Valley suburbs, where the incumbent Andy Biggs's retirement to pursue the 2026 gubernatorial race opened the nomination. The July 21, 2026, Republican primary settled on former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb as nominee after he defeated challenger Daniel Keenan. Democrats nominated Elizabeth Lee in their concurrent primary. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the district's voting patterns, turnout dynamics, and historical margins continue to favor the Republican candidate in the eyes of traders, keeping the implied probability of a GOP victory well above 80 percent. No major shifts from polling, endorsements, or campaign events have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$24,678Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 5th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat in the East Valley suburbs, where the incumbent Andy Biggs's retirement to pursue the 2026 gubernatorial race opened the nomination. The July 21, 2026, Republican primary settled on former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb as nominee after he defeated challenger Daniel Keenan. Democrats nominated Elizabeth Lee in their concurrent primary. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the district's voting patterns, turnout dynamics, and historical margins continue to favor the Republican candidate in the eyes of traders, keeping the implied probability of a GOP victory well above 80 percent. No major shifts from polling, endorsements, or campaign events have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes