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Politics·Primaries

AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner

icon for AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner

Mark Lamb 53.8%

Daniel Keenan 49%

Travis Grantham <1%

Jay Feely <1%

Polymarket

$55,308 Vol.

Mark Lamb 53.8%

Daniel Keenan 49%

Travis Grantham <1%

Jay Feely <1%

Polymarket

$55,308 Vol.

Mark Lamb

$8,594 Vol.

54%

Daniel Keenan

$240 Vol.

49%

Travis Grantham

$2,485 Vol.

1%

Jay Feely

$43,990 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb leads the AZ-05 Republican primary field at 49% in trader consensus, driven by his Trump endorsement secured in late 2025, prior name recognition from his Pinal County sheriff tenure and 2024 Senate bid, and strong early polling that placed him well ahead of rivals. Travis Grantham holds second at 22% on the strength of his legislative record as a former state representative, though his support has not kept pace with Lamb’s momentum. Jay Feely trails at 2.5% amid limited prior political experience. Key recent catalysts include candidate announcements in fall 2025 that crowded the open seat left by Rep. Andy Biggs and subsequent polling and endorsement developments that reinforced Lamb’s position ahead of the July 21 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$55,308
Fecha de finalización
21 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb leads the AZ-05 Republican primary field at 49% in trader consensus, driven by his Trump endorsement secured in late 2025, prior name recognition from his Pinal County sheriff tenure and 2024 Senate bid, and strong early polling that placed him well ahead of rivals. Travis Grantham holds second at 22% on the strength of his legislative record as a former state representative, though his support has not kept pace with Lamb’s momentum. Jay Feely trails at 2.5% amid limited prior political experience. Key recent catalysts include candidate announcements in fall 2025 that crowded the open seat left by Rep. Andy Biggs and subsequent polling and endorsement developments that reinforced Lamb’s position ahead of the July 21 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$55,308
Fecha de finalización
21 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mark Lamb" con 54%, seguido de "Daniel Keenan" con 49%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 54¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 54% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner" ha generado $55.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner" es "Mark Lamb" con 54%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 54% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Daniel Keenan" con 49%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "AZ-05 Republican Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.