Mark Lamb holds a commanding position in the Republican primary for Arizona’s 5th Congressional District, with traders pricing his nomination on July 21 at 95 percent. The open seat created by Representative Andy Biggs’s gubernatorial bid has favored Lamb’s established profile from his 2024 U.S. Senate run and his endorsement by President Donald Trump. A December 2025 poll of likely Republican primary voters showed him at 64 percent support, well ahead of former state representative Travis Grantham and former NFL kicker Jay Feely. In this solidly Republican district, Lamb’s statewide name recognition and party infrastructure have limited challengers’ ability to close the gap despite their fundraising. No major shifts have emerged in recent weeks that would realistically alter the current trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMark Lamb 95.2%
Travis Grantham 2.6%
Jay Feely <1%
$47,624 Vol.
$47,624 Vol.
4 ago 2026
Mark Lamb
95%
Travis Grantham
3%
Jay Feely
<1%
Mark Lamb 95.2%
Travis Grantham 2.6%
Jay Feely <1%
$47,624 Vol.
$47,624 Vol.
4 ago 2026
Mark Lamb
$4,405 Vol.
95%
Travis Grantham
$1,365 Vol.
3%
Jay Feely
$41,854 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb holds a commanding position in the Republican primary for Arizona’s 5th Congressional District, with traders pricing his nomination on July 21 at 95 percent. The open seat created by Representative Andy Biggs’s gubernatorial bid has favored Lamb’s established profile from his 2024 U.S. Senate run and his endorsement by President Donald Trump. A December 2025 poll of likely Republican primary voters showed him at 64 percent support, well ahead of former state representative Travis Grantham and former NFL kicker Jay Feely. In this solidly Republican district, Lamb’s statewide name recognition and party infrastructure have limited challengers’ ability to close the gap despite their fundraising. No major shifts have emerged in recent weeks that would realistically alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Volumen
$47,624Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mark Lamb holds a commanding position in the Republican primary for Arizona’s 5th Congressional District, with traders pricing his nomination on July 21 at 95 percent. The open seat created by Representative Andy Biggs’s gubernatorial bid has favored Lamb’s established profile from his 2024 U.S. Senate run and his endorsement by President Donald Trump. A December 2025 poll of likely Republican primary voters showed him at 64 percent support, well ahead of former state representative Travis Grantham and former NFL kicker Jay Feely. In this solidly Republican district, Lamb’s statewide name recognition and party infrastructure have limited challengers’ ability to close the gap despite their fundraising. No major shifts have emerged in recent weeks that would realistically alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$47,624Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Lamb holds a commanding position in the Republican primary for Arizona’s 5th Congressional District, with traders pricing his nomination on July 21 at 95 percent. The open seat created by Representative Andy Biggs’s gubernatorial bid has favored Lamb’s established profile from his 2024 U.S. Senate run and his endorsement by President Donald Trump. A December 2025 poll of likely Republican primary voters showed him at 64 percent support, well ahead of former state representative Travis Grantham and former NFL kicker Jay Feely. In this solidly Republican district, Lamb’s statewide name recognition and party infrastructure have limited challengers’ ability to close the gap despite their fundraising. No major shifts have emerged in recent weeks that would realistically alter the current trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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