Recent polling consistently places Iván Cepeda ahead for first place in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, leaving the contest for second—and a June 21 runoff berth—between conservative rivals Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella has gained ground by presenting a more assertive security platform and directly challenging Valencia to debate, capitalizing on voter frustration with crime and the incumbent administration’s record. Valencia, backed by the Democratic Center, emphasizes institutional continuity and private-sector investment but trails in head-to-head surveys. These trends explain why market pricing heavily favors de la Espriella to finish second, while other candidates remain marginal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones presidenciales Colombia 1ª vuelta: 2º lugar
Elecciones presidenciales Colombia 1ª vuelta: 2º lugar
Abelardo de la Espriella 71%
Paloma Valencia 18%
Iván Cepeda Castro 10.6%
Claudia López <1%
$90,132 Vol.
$90,132 Vol.
31 may 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella
71%
Paloma Valencia
18%
Iván Cepeda Castro
11%
Claudia López
<1%
Sergio Fajardo
<1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
<1%
Roy Barreras
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
<1%
Vicky Dávila
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%
Daniel Quintero
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella 71%
Paloma Valencia 18%
Iván Cepeda Castro 10.6%
Claudia López <1%
$90,132 Vol.
$90,132 Vol.
31 may 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella
$9,545 Vol.
71%
Paloma Valencia
$13,316 Vol.
18%
Iván Cepeda Castro
$9,665 Vol.
11%
Claudia López
$5,017 Vol.
<1%
Sergio Fajardo
$4,707 Vol.
<1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
$4,254 Vol.
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
$4,093 Vol.
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
$3,492 Vol.
<1%
Roy Barreras
$4,904 Vol.
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
$3,584 Vol.
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
$3,550 Vol.
<1%
Vicky Dávila
$4,471 Vol.
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
$3,585 Vol.
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
$4,127 Vol.
<1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
$4,086 Vol.
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
$4,205 Vol.
<1%
Daniel Quintero
$3,532 Vol.
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling consistently places Iván Cepeda ahead for first place in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, leaving the contest for second—and a June 21 runoff berth—between conservative rivals Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella has gained ground by presenting a more assertive security platform and directly challenging Valencia to debate, capitalizing on voter frustration with crime and the incumbent administration’s record. Valencia, backed by the Democratic Center, emphasizes institutional continuity and private-sector investment but trails in head-to-head surveys. These trends explain why market pricing heavily favors de la Espriella to finish second, while other candidates remain marginal.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volumen
$90,132Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling consistently places Iván Cepeda ahead for first place in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, leaving the contest for second—and a June 21 runoff berth—between conservative rivals Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella has gained ground by presenting a more assertive security platform and directly challenging Valencia to debate, capitalizing on voter frustration with crime and the incumbent administration’s record. Valencia, backed by the Democratic Center, emphasizes institutional continuity and private-sector investment but trails in head-to-head surveys. These trends explain why market pricing heavily favors de la Espriella to finish second, while other candidates remain marginal.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$90,132Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling consistently places Iván Cepeda ahead for first place in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote, leaving the contest for second—and a June 21 runoff berth—between conservative rivals Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella has gained ground by presenting a more assertive security platform and directly challenging Valencia to debate, capitalizing on voter frustration with crime and the incumbent administration’s record. Valencia, backed by the Democratic Center, emphasizes institutional continuity and private-sector investment but trails in head-to-head surveys. These trends explain why market pricing heavily favors de la Espriella to finish second, while other candidates remain marginal.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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