Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential contest features a fragmented field led by Iván Cepeda, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Paloma Valencia, with recent polls showing no candidate approaching the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a June 21 runoff. Historical first-round turnout has consistently fallen in the 54-57 percent range among roughly 41.5 million registered voters, and current modeling projects participation near 55 percent. Traders appear to view the competitive yet non-polarizing environment as unlikely to produce either unusually high mobilization or widespread abstention. No major last-minute developments, such as scandals or security incidents, have emerged in the final weeks to shift these baseline expectations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado54-57% 63%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
60%+ 17.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 may 2026
<48%
4%
48-51%
9%
51-54%
18%
54-57%
63%
57-60%
14%
60%+
17%
54-57% 63%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
60%+ 17.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 may 2026
<48%
$436 Vol.
4%
48-51%
$428 Vol.
9%
51-54%
$420 Vol.
18%
54-57%
$441 Vol.
63%
57-60%
$420 Vol.
14%
60%+
$489 Vol.
17%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential contest features a fragmented field led by Iván Cepeda, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Paloma Valencia, with recent polls showing no candidate approaching the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a June 21 runoff. Historical first-round turnout has consistently fallen in the 54-57 percent range among roughly 41.5 million registered voters, and current modeling projects participation near 55 percent. Traders appear to view the competitive yet non-polarizing environment as unlikely to produce either unusually high mobilization or widespread abstention. No major last-minute developments, such as scandals or security incidents, have emerged in the final weeks to shift these baseline expectations.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Mercado abierto: Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Volumen
$2,634Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential contest features a fragmented field led by Iván Cepeda, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Paloma Valencia, with recent polls showing no candidate approaching the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a June 21 runoff. Historical first-round turnout has consistently fallen in the 54-57 percent range among roughly 41.5 million registered voters, and current modeling projects participation near 55 percent. Traders appear to view the competitive yet non-polarizing environment as unlikely to produce either unusually high mobilization or widespread abstention. No major last-minute developments, such as scandals or security incidents, have emerged in the final weeks to shift these baseline expectations.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volumen
$2,634Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's May 31 first-round presidential contest features a fragmented field led by Iván Cepeda, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Paloma Valencia, with recent polls showing no candidate approaching the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a June 21 runoff. Historical first-round turnout has consistently fallen in the 54-57 percent range among roughly 41.5 million registered voters, and current modeling projects participation near 55 percent. Traders appear to view the competitive yet non-polarizing environment as unlikely to produce either unusually high mobilization or widespread abstention. No major last-minute developments, such as scandals or security incidents, have emerged in the final weeks to shift these baseline expectations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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