Market-implied odds place the strongest weight on a 2.6% October 2026 Core CPI YoY reading, consistent with the September print that surprised to the upside at 2.6% versus a 2.5% consensus. That outcome reflected broad-based strength in shelter and supercore services, with owners’ equivalent rent rising 0.35% m/m. Economists now project a softer 0.21% m/m core gain in October as used-vehicle prices ease and shelter inflation moderates, though Cleveland Fed nowcasts hover near 2.48% and base effects from prior energy spikes support stability near 2.6%. The BLS release scheduled for November 10 will resolve the market, with any deviation in shelter or goods components the key swing factor.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoView resolved

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