Recent polling in May 2026 shows DISY maintaining a narrow but consistent lead over AKEL in projected vote shares across multiple surveys, with both parties hovering near 20 percent amid high undecided rates. This positioning, combined with record fragmentation from over 750 candidates on 19 lists and rising support for ELAM and newcomers like ALMA, favors DISY securing the largest seat share under Cyprus’s proportional representation system for the 56 Greek Cypriot seats. Traders reflect this consensus in the current pricing, where the incumbent center-right party holds an 80 percent implied probability. AKEL trails as the main challenger at 18.5 percent, while smaller parties remain below 1 percent due to limited consolidation and the 3.6 percent threshold. The May 24 vote and immediate seat allocation will determine the outcome, with analysts noting that further shifts in undecided voters or turnout could still alter the final distribution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de Chipre
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de Chipre
DISY 80%
AKEL 19%
ELAM <1%
DNM (DEK) <1%
$37,911 Vol.
$37,911 Vol.
24 may 2026
DISY
80%
AKEL
19%
ELAM
1%
DNM (DEK)
<1%
DIPA
<1%
DIKO
<1%
KOSP
<1%
VOLT
<1%
EDEK
<1%
DISY 80%
AKEL 19%
ELAM <1%
DNM (DEK) <1%
$37,911 Vol.
$37,911 Vol.
24 may 2026
DISY
$9,832 Vol.
80%
AKEL
$4,740 Vol.
19%
ELAM
$3,674 Vol.
1%
DNM (DEK)
$3,518 Vol.
<1%
DIPA
$2,155 Vol.
<1%
DIKO
$3,470 Vol.
<1%
KOSP
$2,349 Vol.
<1%
VOLT
$4,700 Vol.
<1%
EDEK
$3,473 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).Recent polling in May 2026 shows DISY maintaining a narrow but consistent lead over AKEL in projected vote shares across multiple surveys, with both parties hovering near 20 percent amid high undecided rates. This positioning, combined with record fragmentation from over 750 candidates on 19 lists and rising support for ELAM and newcomers like ALMA, favors DISY securing the largest seat share under Cyprus’s proportional representation system for the 56 Greek Cypriot seats. Traders reflect this consensus in the current pricing, where the incumbent center-right party holds an 80 percent implied probability. AKEL trails as the main challenger at 18.5 percent, while smaller parties remain below 1 percent due to limited consolidation and the 3.6 percent threshold. The May 24 vote and immediate seat allocation will determine the outcome, with analysts noting that further shifts in undecided voters or turnout could still alter the final distribution.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Mercado abierto: Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ET
Volumen
$37,911Fecha de finalización
24 may 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).Recent polling in May 2026 shows DISY maintaining a narrow but consistent lead over AKEL in projected vote shares across multiple surveys, with both parties hovering near 20 percent amid high undecided rates. This positioning, combined with record fragmentation from over 750 candidates on 19 lists and rising support for ELAM and newcomers like ALMA, favors DISY securing the largest seat share under Cyprus’s proportional representation system for the 56 Greek Cypriot seats. Traders reflect this consensus in the current pricing, where the incumbent center-right party holds an 80 percent implied probability. AKEL trails as the main challenger at 18.5 percent, while smaller parties remain below 1 percent due to limited consolidation and the 3.6 percent threshold. The May 24 vote and immediate seat allocation will determine the outcome, with analysts noting that further shifts in undecided voters or turnout could still alter the final distribution.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Cyprus on May 24, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Cyprus House of Representatives.
If voting in the Cyprus House of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the House of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Service of the Ministry of Interior of the Republic of Cyprus (https://elections.gov.cy).
Volumen
$37,911Fecha de finalización
24 may 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 12, 2025, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling in May 2026 shows DISY maintaining a narrow but consistent lead over AKEL in projected vote shares across multiple surveys, with both parties hovering near 20 percent amid high undecided rates. This positioning, combined with record fragmentation from over 750 candidates on 19 lists and rising support for ELAM and newcomers like ALMA, favors DISY securing the largest seat share under Cyprus’s proportional representation system for the 56 Greek Cypriot seats. Traders reflect this consensus in the current pricing, where the incumbent center-right party holds an 80 percent implied probability. AKEL trails as the main challenger at 18.5 percent, while smaller parties remain below 1 percent due to limited consolidation and the 3.6 percent threshold. The May 24 vote and immediate seat allocation will determine the outcome, with analysts noting that further shifts in undecided voters or turnout could still alter the final distribution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes