President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan holds a mandate through his 2023 re-election that extends to the next scheduled presidential vote in May 2028, with no constitutional requirement or announced early election that would force an exit by December 2026. Recent actions, including legal measures against opposition figures such as Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, have further consolidated the ruling AK Party's institutional position ahead of that cycle. Succession discussions within the party focus on post-2028 scenarios, and public statements from Erdoğan affirm his intent to complete the current term. These factors underpin the market's strong consensus that the presidency will remain occupied through the end of 2026 absent unforeseen developments such as health events or major political shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Erdoğan fuera para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?
¿Erdoğan fuera para el 31 de diciembre de 2026?
Sí
6% probabilidad
$612,176 Vol.
$612,176 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Gana un 3.25%
Sí
6% probabilidad
$612,176 Vol.
$612,176 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Gana un 3.25%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan holds a mandate through his 2023 re-election that extends to the next scheduled presidential vote in May 2028, with no constitutional requirement or announced early election that would force an exit by December 2026. Recent actions, including legal measures against opposition figures such as Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, have further consolidated the ruling AK Party's institutional position ahead of that cycle. Succession discussions within the party focus on post-2028 scenarios, and public statements from Erdoğan affirm his intent to complete the current term. These factors underpin the market's strong consensus that the presidency will remain occupied through the end of 2026 absent unforeseen developments such as health events or major political shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volumen
$612,176Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan holds a mandate through his 2023 re-election that extends to the next scheduled presidential vote in May 2028, with no constitutional requirement or announced early election that would force an exit by December 2026. Recent actions, including legal measures against opposition figures such as Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, have further consolidated the ruling AK Party's institutional position ahead of that cycle. Succession discussions within the party focus on post-2028 scenarios, and public statements from Erdoğan affirm his intent to complete the current term. These factors underpin the market's strong consensus that the presidency will remain occupied through the end of 2026 absent unforeseen developments such as health events or major political shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$612,176Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan holds a mandate through his 2023 re-election that extends to the next scheduled presidential vote in May 2028, with no constitutional requirement or announced early election that would force an exit by December 2026. Recent actions, including legal measures against opposition figures such as Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, have further consolidated the ruling AK Party's institutional position ahead of that cycle. Succession discussions within the party focus on post-2028 scenarios, and public statements from Erdoğan affirm his intent to complete the current term. These factors underpin the market's strong consensus that the presidency will remain occupied through the end of 2026 absent unforeseen developments such as health events or major political shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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