Trader consensus has converged on a 29°C daily maximum for Chengdu on June 12 due to real-time surface observations and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showing peak temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under prevailing subtropical high pressure and moderate humidity. June climatology supports this range, with typical highs of 28–30°C amid the early monsoon transition, and current steering patterns limit stronger advection of warmer air masses. Official station data, which resolve the market, are expected to confirm this value barring minor calibration adjustments. Unlikely challengers include localized convective heating or station-specific microclimate effects that could push readings to 30°C or higher, though model ensembles currently assign low probability to such deviations before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 12?
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$46,166 Vol.
$46,166 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$46,166 Vol.
$46,166 Vol.
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus has converged on a 29°C daily maximum for Chengdu on June 12 due to real-time surface observations and numerical weather prediction models from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showing peak temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under prevailing subtropical high pressure and moderate humidity. June climatology supports this range, with typical highs of 28–30°C amid the early monsoon transition, and current steering patterns limit stronger advection of warmer air masses. Official station data, which resolve the market, are expected to confirm this value barring minor calibration adjustments. Unlikely challengers include localized convective heating or station-specific microclimate effects that could push readings to 30°C or higher, though model ensembles currently assign low probability to such deviations before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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