Current meteorological observations and forecast models from China's National Meteorological Center indicate a daily maximum temperature of 27°C in Guangzhou on May 17, driven by typical subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow that limit daytime heating. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 28°C, with this slightly cooler outcome consistent with recent model consensus on cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects real-time alignment between official station data and short-range numerical weather prediction outputs. Minor adjustments could arise only from final post-analysis revisions to the official record or unexpected local microclimate effects, though both remain low-probability given the stability of current atmospheric patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 17 de mayo?
27°C 100.0%
22°C o menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,556 Vol.
$30,556 Vol.
22°C o menos
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Sí
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C o más
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C o menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$30,556 Vol.
$30,556 Vol.
22°C o menos
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Sí
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C o más
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGCurrent meteorological observations and forecast models from China's National Meteorological Center indicate a daily maximum temperature of 27°C in Guangzhou on May 17, driven by typical subtropical high-pressure conditions and moderate southerly flow that limit daytime heating. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 28°C, with this slightly cooler outcome consistent with recent model consensus on cloud cover and boundary-layer moisture. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 27°C reflects real-time alignment between official station data and short-range numerical weather prediction outputs. Minor adjustments could arise only from final post-analysis revisions to the official record or unexpected local microclimate effects, though both remain low-probability given the stability of current atmospheric patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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