Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a high near 16°C for Helsinki on September 16 under southerly flow ahead of an approaching low-pressure system. This positions the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 61% implied probability, reflecting consensus on peak daytime readings amid increasing cloud cover and light precipitation chances. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty, with 17°C possible if mixing is stronger and 15°C if rain suppresses maxima, aligning with the 23% and 14.5% odds. Current observations near 12–14°C and seasonal norms for mid-September provide context, while updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Helsinki el 16 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Helsinki el 16 de septiembre?
16°C 63%
17°C 23%
15°C 13%
18°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
11°C o menos
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
13%
16°C
63%
17°C
23%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
<1%
21°C o más
<1%
16°C 63%
17°C 23%
15°C 13%
18°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 sep 2026
11°C o menos
$63 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
2%
13°C
$0 Vol.
2%
14°C
$140 Vol.
3%
15°C
$659 Vol.
13%
16°C
$2,385 Vol.
63%
17°C
$153 Vol.
23%
18°C
$153 Vol.
3%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
21°C o más
$159 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a high near 16°C for Helsinki on September 16 under southerly flow ahead of an approaching low-pressure system. This positions the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 61% implied probability, reflecting consensus on peak daytime readings amid increasing cloud cover and light precipitation chances. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty, with 17°C possible if mixing is stronger and 15°C if rain suppresses maxima, aligning with the 23% and 14.5% odds. Current observations near 12–14°C and seasonal norms for mid-September provide context, while updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$3,812Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a high near 16°C for Helsinki on September 16 under southerly flow ahead of an approaching low-pressure system. This positions the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 61% implied probability, reflecting consensus on peak daytime readings amid increasing cloud cover and light precipitation chances. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty, with 17°C possible if mixing is stronger and 15°C if rain suppresses maxima, aligning with the 23% and 14.5% odds. Current observations near 12–14°C and seasonal norms for mid-September provide context, while updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,812Fecha de finalización
16 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate a high near 16°C for Helsinki on September 16 under southerly flow ahead of an approaching low-pressure system. This positions the 16°C outcome as the market leader at 61% implied probability, reflecting consensus on peak daytime readings amid increasing cloud cover and light precipitation chances. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty, with 17°C possible if mixing is stronger and 15°C if rain suppresses maxima, aligning with the 23% and 14.5% odds. Current observations near 12–14°C and seasonal norms for mid-September provide context, while updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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