Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on August 5, 2026, with daytime maxima centered near 29–30 °C under light northerly flow. This aligns with August climatology, when average highs reach 28–30 °C amid peak solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, moderated by cooling sea breezes from the Bosphorus and adjacent seas. Model consensus shows low precipitation probability and no strong frontal systems, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 29 °C (69.5 %). Updated runs through early August have reinforced this narrow range without signals of either anomalous warming or cooling, keeping shorter odds on 28 °C and 30 °C while rendering extremes below 10 % probability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 5 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 5 de agosto?
29°C 70%
28°C 13%
30°C 13%
31°C 1.4%
$33,622 Vol.
$33,622 Vol.
5 ago 2026
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
13%
29°C
70%
30°C
13%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o más
<1%
29°C 70%
28°C 13%
30°C 13%
31°C 1.4%
$33,622 Vol.
$33,622 Vol.
5 ago 2026
24°C o menos
$443 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$447 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,234 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,110 Vol.
1%
28°C
$7,729 Vol.
13%
29°C
$4,339 Vol.
70%
30°C
$3,813 Vol.
13%
31°C
$4,239 Vol.
1%
32°C
$2,889 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,730 Vol.
<1%
34°C o más
$3,506 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on August 5, 2026, with daytime maxima centered near 29–30 °C under light northerly flow. This aligns with August climatology, when average highs reach 28–30 °C amid peak solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, moderated by cooling sea breezes from the Bosphorus and adjacent seas. Model consensus shows low precipitation probability and no strong frontal systems, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 29 °C (69.5 %). Updated runs through early August have reinforced this narrow range without signals of either anomalous warming or cooling, keeping shorter odds on 28 °C and 30 °C while rendering extremes below 10 % probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$33,622Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on August 5, 2026, with daytime maxima centered near 29–30 °C under light northerly flow. This aligns with August climatology, when average highs reach 28–30 °C amid peak solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, moderated by cooling sea breezes from the Bosphorus and adjacent seas. Model consensus shows low precipitation probability and no strong frontal systems, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 29 °C (69.5 %). Updated runs through early August have reinforced this narrow range without signals of either anomalous warming or cooling, keeping shorter odds on 28 °C and 30 °C while rendering extremes below 10 % probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$33,622Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate.com indicate mostly sunny conditions over Istanbul on August 5, 2026, with daytime maxima centered near 29–30 °C under light northerly flow. This aligns with August climatology, when average highs reach 28–30 °C amid peak solar insolation and minimal cloud cover, moderated by cooling sea breezes from the Bosphorus and adjacent seas. Model consensus shows low precipitation probability and no strong frontal systems, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 29 °C (69.5 %). Updated runs through early August have reinforced this narrow range without signals of either anomalous warming or cooling, keeping shorter odds on 28 °C and 30 °C while rendering extremes below 10 % probability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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