Mid-August in Jinan places the city under typical peak summer conditions in its humid subtropical climate, where average daily highs reach 30–32°C and recent forecasts project a maximum near 28°C with partly cloudy or rainy skies. Official monitoring and model consensus support temperatures well above the 26°C threshold, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome as traders align with climatological baselines and short-range guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. A strong cold front or measurement anomaly could theoretically lower readings, though such shifts remain improbable given persistent warm advection and the narrow uncertainty range in current data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 13 de agosto?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$7,937 Vol.
$7,937 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$7,937 Vol.
$7,937 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Mid-August in Jinan places the city under typical peak summer conditions in its humid subtropical climate, where average daily highs reach 30–32°C and recent forecasts project a maximum near 28°C with partly cloudy or rainy skies. Official monitoring and model consensus support temperatures well above the 26°C threshold, driving the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome as traders align with climatological baselines and short-range guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. A strong cold front or measurement anomaly could theoretically lower readings, though such shifts remain improbable given persistent warm advection and the narrow uncertainty range in current data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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