Current forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate a daily maximum near 32°C in Karachi on August 5, 2026, aligning with August climatology where highs typically average 31–32°C and rarely exceed 34°C under normal monsoon conditions. This positions the market-implied 95% odds on 32°C as a reflection of consistent observational baselines, including recent satellite and surface data showing stable atmospheric patterns without anomalous heat advection or clear-sky intensification. Trader consensus incorporates these verified trends alongside short-term model runs projecting limited variability. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted surge in solar heating or delayed monsoon cloud cover that pushes readings to 34°C or higher, though historical records and ensemble spreads make such deviations low-probability events by day's end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Karachi el 5 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Karachi el 5 de agosto?
32°C 95%
33°C 5%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$32,880 Vol.
$32,880 Vol.
5 ago 2026
27°C o menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
95%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o más
<1%
32°C 95%
33°C 5%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$32,880 Vol.
$32,880 Vol.
5 ago 2026
27°C o menos
$383 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$583 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$592 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,842 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,394 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$7,286 Vol.
95%
33°C
$7,694 Vol.
5%
34°C
$4,265 Vol.
1%
35°C
$4,777 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$892 Vol.
<1%
37°C o más
$1,172 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate a daily maximum near 32°C in Karachi on August 5, 2026, aligning with August climatology where highs typically average 31–32°C and rarely exceed 34°C under normal monsoon conditions. This positions the market-implied 95% odds on 32°C as a reflection of consistent observational baselines, including recent satellite and surface data showing stable atmospheric patterns without anomalous heat advection or clear-sky intensification. Trader consensus incorporates these verified trends alongside short-term model runs projecting limited variability. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted surge in solar heating or delayed monsoon cloud cover that pushes readings to 34°C or higher, though historical records and ensemble spreads make such deviations low-probability events by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
Volumen
$32,880Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 1:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate a daily maximum near 32°C in Karachi on August 5, 2026, aligning with August climatology where highs typically average 31–32°C and rarely exceed 34°C under normal monsoon conditions. This positions the market-implied 95% odds on 32°C as a reflection of consistent observational baselines, including recent satellite and surface data showing stable atmospheric patterns without anomalous heat advection or clear-sky intensification. Trader consensus incorporates these verified trends alongside short-term model runs projecting limited variability. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted surge in solar heating or delayed monsoon cloud cover that pushes readings to 34°C or higher, though historical records and ensemble spreads make such deviations low-probability events by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$32,880Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 1:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate a daily maximum near 32°C in Karachi on August 5, 2026, aligning with August climatology where highs typically average 31–32°C and rarely exceed 34°C under normal monsoon conditions. This positions the market-implied 95% odds on 32°C as a reflection of consistent observational baselines, including recent satellite and surface data showing stable atmospheric patterns without anomalous heat advection or clear-sky intensification. Trader consensus incorporates these verified trends alongside short-term model runs projecting limited variability. A realistic challenge could arise from an unforecasted surge in solar heating or delayed monsoon cloud cover that pushes readings to 34°C or higher, though historical records and ensemble spreads make such deviations low-probability events by day's end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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