The market assigns near-certainty to a 26°C high on August 4, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from primary meteorological stations in Mexico City. This aligns with typical early-August conditions at the city's high elevation, where daytime maxima commonly reach the mid-20s Celsius amid the rainy season's cloud cover and convective activity that limits extreme heating. Official networks such as those operated by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional provide the resolution benchmark, with model consensus and station reports converging on this value rather than higher or lower thresholds. A late-day measurement revision, use of an alternate reference station, or uncharacteristic clear-sky intensification could theoretically alter the final figure, though such shifts are uncommon once preliminary data are validated.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la Ciudad de México el 4 de agosto?
26°C 100.0%
20°C o menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$29,218 Vol.
$29,218 Vol.
20°C o menos
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Sí
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C o más
No
26°C 100.0%
20°C o menos <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$29,218 Vol.
$29,218 Vol.
20°C o menos
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Sí
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C o más
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The market assigns near-certainty to a 26°C high on August 4, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from primary meteorological stations in Mexico City. This aligns with typical early-August conditions at the city's high elevation, where daytime maxima commonly reach the mid-20s Celsius amid the rainy season's cloud cover and convective activity that limits extreme heating. Official networks such as those operated by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional provide the resolution benchmark, with model consensus and station reports converging on this value rather than higher or lower thresholds. A late-day measurement revision, use of an alternate reference station, or uncharacteristic clear-sky intensification could theoretically alter the final figure, though such shifts are uncommon once preliminary data are validated.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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