Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and national meteorological services indicate a peak temperature near 27–28°C in Moscow on August 5, driven by moderate high pressure, limited cloud cover, and light westerly winds that limit both daytime heating and nocturnal cooling. Recent observations show highs of 28–31°C earlier in the week, establishing a baseline consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Minor model spread around advection of slightly cooler maritime air supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (58.5%) and 28°C (24.5%), while lower probabilities for 26°C or 29°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage. Updated runs later today will likely refine these implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 5 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 5 de agosto?
27°C 58%
28°C 27%
26°C 15%
29°C 3%
$14,861 Vol.
$14,861 Vol.
5 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
15%
27°C
58%
28°C
27%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o más
<1%
27°C 58%
28°C 27%
26°C 15%
29°C 3%
$14,861 Vol.
$14,861 Vol.
5 ago 2026
23°C or below
$1,551 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$578 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$666 Vol.
1%
26°C
$999 Vol.
15%
27°C
$2,030 Vol.
58%
28°C
$1,850 Vol.
27%
29°C
$1,103 Vol.
3%
30°C
$300 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$843 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,963 Vol.
<1%
33°C o más
$1,978 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and national meteorological services indicate a peak temperature near 27–28°C in Moscow on August 5, driven by moderate high pressure, limited cloud cover, and light westerly winds that limit both daytime heating and nocturnal cooling. Recent observations show highs of 28–31°C earlier in the week, establishing a baseline consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Minor model spread around advection of slightly cooler maritime air supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (58.5%) and 28°C (24.5%), while lower probabilities for 26°C or 29°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage. Updated runs later today will likely refine these implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$14,861Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and national meteorological services indicate a peak temperature near 27–28°C in Moscow on August 5, driven by moderate high pressure, limited cloud cover, and light westerly winds that limit both daytime heating and nocturnal cooling. Recent observations show highs of 28–31°C earlier in the week, establishing a baseline consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Minor model spread around advection of slightly cooler maritime air supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (58.5%) and 28°C (24.5%), while lower probabilities for 26°C or 29°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage. Updated runs later today will likely refine these implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,861Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including timeanddate and national meteorological services indicate a peak temperature near 27–28°C in Moscow on August 5, driven by moderate high pressure, limited cloud cover, and light westerly winds that limit both daytime heating and nocturnal cooling. Recent observations show highs of 28–31°C earlier in the week, establishing a baseline consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Minor model spread around advection of slightly cooler maritime air supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 27°C (58.5%) and 28°C (24.5%), while lower probabilities for 26°C or 29°C reflect residual uncertainty in exact timing of any frontal passage. Updated runs later today will likely refine these implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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