**Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 5, reflecting broad model consensus for a peak near 31–32°C.** Early September conditions feature typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns, with high pressure supporting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and westerly winds providing modest sea-breeze moderation. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS runs project daytime maxima around 31–32°C, consistent with seasonal baselines of 30–32°C. Limited day-to-day variability and absence of strong heat advection or unusual cloud cover keep the distribution tightly centered on 32°C, though minor forecast shifts in timing or local effects could still allow a 31°C or 33°C outcome. Traders appear to weight the strong multi-model agreement and proximity to resolution in assigning the dominant probability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 5 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 5 de septiembre?
32°C 69%
31°C 16%
33°C 12%
30°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 sep 2026
29°C o menos
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
16%
32°C
69%
33°C
12%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C o más
<1%
32°C 69%
31°C 16%
33°C 12%
30°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 sep 2026
29°C o menos
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
5%
31°C
$44 Vol.
16%
32°C
$349 Vol.
69%
33°C
$1 Vol.
12%
34°C
$0 Vol.
3%
35°C
$0 Vol.
1%
36°C
$62 Vol.
1%
37°C
$11 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$325 Vol.
<1%
39°C o más
$391 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 5, reflecting broad model consensus for a peak near 31–32°C.**
Early September conditions feature typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns, with high pressure supporting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and westerly winds providing modest sea-breeze moderation. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS runs project daytime maxima around 31–32°C, consistent with seasonal baselines of 30–32°C. Limited day-to-day variability and absence of strong heat advection or unusual cloud cover keep the distribution tightly centered on 32°C, though minor forecast shifts in timing or local effects could still allow a 31°C or 33°C outcome. Traders appear to weight the strong multi-model agreement and proximity to resolution in assigning the dominant probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,184Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 5, reflecting broad model consensus for a peak near 31–32°C.**
Early September conditions feature typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns, with high pressure supporting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and westerly winds providing modest sea-breeze moderation. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS runs project daytime maxima around 31–32°C, consistent with seasonal baselines of 30–32°C. Limited day-to-day variability and absence of strong heat advection or unusual cloud cover keep the distribution tightly centered on 32°C, though minor forecast shifts in timing or local effects could still allow a 31°C or 33°C outcome. Traders appear to weight the strong multi-model agreement and proximity to resolution in assigning the dominant probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,184Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds heavily favor 32°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 5, reflecting broad model consensus for a peak near 31–32°C.** Early September conditions feature typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns, with high pressure supporting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and westerly winds providing modest sea-breeze moderation. Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as the Israel Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS runs project daytime maxima around 31–32°C, consistent with seasonal baselines of 30–32°C. Limited day-to-day variability and absence of strong heat advection or unusual cloud cover keep the distribution tightly centered on 32°C, though minor forecast shifts in timing or local effects could still allow a 31°C or 33°C outcome. Traders appear to weight the strong multi-model agreement and proximity to resolution in assigning the dominant probability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes