Recent forecast guidance from meteorological agencies indicates a daytime maximum in Zhengzhou near 31–32 °C under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow, aligning with early-August climatology for the North China Plain. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty tied to afternoon boundary-layer heating and any isolated convective development that could either enhance or suppress the peak by 1 °C. With the 32 °C threshold at 42.5 % implied probability and 31 °C at 34 %, traders are weighting the narrow range of outcomes consistent with verified observations and ensemble spreads rather than extreme departures from seasonal baselines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Zhengzhou el 10 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Zhengzhou el 10 de agosto?
32°C o más 42%
31°C 37%
22°C o menos <1%
23°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
34%
32°C o más
42%
32°C o más 42%
31°C 37%
22°C o menos <1%
23°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$292 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$262 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,282 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$226 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$447 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$757 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$358 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$601 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$361 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$51 Vol.
34%
32°C o más
$42 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from meteorological agencies indicates a daytime maximum in Zhengzhou near 31–32 °C under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow, aligning with early-August climatology for the North China Plain. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty tied to afternoon boundary-layer heating and any isolated convective development that could either enhance or suppress the peak by 1 °C. With the 32 °C threshold at 42.5 % implied probability and 31 °C at 34 %, traders are weighting the narrow range of outcomes consistent with verified observations and ensemble spreads rather than extreme departures from seasonal baselines.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$4,678Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from meteorological agencies indicates a daytime maximum in Zhengzhou near 31–32 °C under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow, aligning with early-August climatology for the North China Plain. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty tied to afternoon boundary-layer heating and any isolated convective development that could either enhance or suppress the peak by 1 °C. With the 32 °C threshold at 42.5 % implied probability and 31 °C at 34 %, traders are weighting the narrow range of outcomes consistent with verified observations and ensemble spreads rather than extreme departures from seasonal baselines.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,678Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from meteorological agencies indicates a daytime maximum in Zhengzhou near 31–32 °C under mostly sunny skies and light northeasterly flow, aligning with early-August climatology for the North China Plain. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty tied to afternoon boundary-layer heating and any isolated convective development that could either enhance or suppress the peak by 1 °C. With the 32 °C threshold at 42.5 % implied probability and 31 °C at 34 %, traders are weighting the narrow range of outcomes consistent with verified observations and ensemble spreads rather than extreme departures from seasonal baselines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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