Recent FOMC meetings have featured multiple dissents amid elevated inflation above the 2% target and a solid labor market, with the federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75% in July 2026 on a 9-3 vote favoring no change. This pattern of fractures—three dissents in both December 2025 and July 2026—drives the tightly clustered implied probabilities for December 2026 dissents, as traders weigh whether hawkish or dovish members will align with or diverge from any policy action. Key swing factors include upcoming inflation data, September FOMC signals, and the dot plot's rate path projections, which have recently shifted higher for year-end 2026. The narrow spread across outcomes underscores uncertainty over consensus formation in a polarized committee.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
2 24.2%
3 24%
4+ 22%
1 18.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 dic 2026
0
16%
1
18%
2
24%
3
24%
4+
22%
2 24.2%
3 24%
4+ 22%
1 18.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 dic 2026
0
$5,895 Vol.
16%
1
$314 Vol.
18%
2
$134 Vol.
24%
3
$153 Vol.
24%
4+
$168 Vol.
22%
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings have featured multiple dissents amid elevated inflation above the 2% target and a solid labor market, with the federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75% in July 2026 on a 9-3 vote favoring no change. This pattern of fractures—three dissents in both December 2025 and July 2026—drives the tightly clustered implied probabilities for December 2026 dissents, as traders weigh whether hawkish or dovish members will align with or diverge from any policy action. Key swing factors include upcoming inflation data, September FOMC signals, and the dot plot's rate path projections, which have recently shifted higher for year-end 2026. The narrow spread across outcomes underscores uncertainty over consensus formation in a polarized committee.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Volumen
$6,664Fecha de finalización
9 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings have featured multiple dissents amid elevated inflation above the 2% target and a solid labor market, with the federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75% in July 2026 on a 9-3 vote favoring no change. This pattern of fractures—three dissents in both December 2025 and July 2026—drives the tightly clustered implied probabilities for December 2026 dissents, as traders weigh whether hawkish or dovish members will align with or diverge from any policy action. Key swing factors include upcoming inflation data, September FOMC signals, and the dot plot's rate path projections, which have recently shifted higher for year-end 2026. The narrow spread across outcomes underscores uncertainty over consensus formation in a polarized committee.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$6,664Fecha de finalización
9 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC meetings have featured multiple dissents amid elevated inflation above the 2% target and a solid labor market, with the federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75% in July 2026 on a 9-3 vote favoring no change. This pattern of fractures—three dissents in both December 2025 and July 2026—drives the tightly clustered implied probabilities for December 2026 dissents, as traders weigh whether hawkish or dovish members will align with or diverge from any policy action. Key swing factors include upcoming inflation data, September FOMC signals, and the dot plot's rate path projections, which have recently shifted higher for year-end 2026. The narrow spread across outcomes underscores uncertainty over consensus formation in a polarized committee.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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