The April 2026 nonfarm payrolls gain of 115,000 jobs, well above consensus estimates near 60,000, combined with an unchanged 4.3% unemployment rate, is anchoring trader expectations for the May employment report due June 5. Mixed underlying signals—robust gains in healthcare, transportation, and retail offset by household survey weakness, downward revisions to prior months, and softening labor force participation—are fueling the tight spread across outcomes. Recent central bank commentary on persistent inflation and labor market resilience adds further uncertainty, prompting markets to price in a range of scenarios rather than any single trajectory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHow many jobs added in May?
100k – 150k 41%
150k – 200k 30%
200k+ 23%
50k – 100k 22%
<0
15%
0 – 50k
32%
50k – 100k
17%
100k – 150k
31%
150k – 200k
30%
200k+
23%
100k – 150k 41%
150k – 200k 30%
200k+ 23%
50k – 100k 22%
<0
15%
0 – 50k
32%
50k – 100k
17%
100k – 150k
31%
150k – 200k
30%
200k+
23%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Mercado abierto: May 8, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The April 2026 nonfarm payrolls gain of 115,000 jobs, well above consensus estimates near 60,000, combined with an unchanged 4.3% unemployment rate, is anchoring trader expectations for the May employment report due June 5. Mixed underlying signals—robust gains in healthcare, transportation, and retail offset by household survey weakness, downward revisions to prior months, and softening labor force participation—are fueling the tight spread across outcomes. Recent central bank commentary on persistent inflation and labor market resilience adds further uncertainty, prompting markets to price in a range of scenarios rather than any single trajectory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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