Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Incheon
Park Chan-dae 95.2%
Yoo Jeong-bok 4.0%
Yoon Sang-hyun <1%
Park Nam-choon <1%
$2,567,156 Vol.
$2,567,156 Vol.
3 jun 2026
Park Chan-dae
$145,496 Vol.
95%
Yoo Jeong-bok
$1,936,931 Vol.
4%
Yoon Sang-hyun
$140,259 Vol.
<1%
Park Nam-choon
$56,759 Vol.
<1%
Yoo Dong-soo
$109,596 Vol.
<1%
Bae June-young
$36,670 Vol.
<1%
Chung Il-young
$41,322 Vol.
<1%
Kim Kyo-heung
$60,183 Vol.
<1%
Lee Hak-jae
$39,941 Vol.
<1%
Park Chan-dae 95.2%
Yoo Jeong-bok 4.0%
Yoon Sang-hyun <1%
Park Nam-choon <1%
$2,567,156 Vol.
$2,567,156 Vol.
3 jun 2026
Park Chan-dae
$145,496 Vol.
95%
Yoo Jeong-bok
$1,936,931 Vol.
4%
Yoon Sang-hyun
$140,259 Vol.
<1%
Park Nam-choon
$56,759 Vol.
<1%
Yoo Dong-soo
$109,596 Vol.
<1%
Bae June-young
$36,670 Vol.
<1%
Chung Il-young
$41,322 Vol.
<1%
Kim Kyo-heung
$60,183 Vol.
<1%
Lee Hak-jae
$39,941 Vol.
<1%
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Park Chan-dae, the Democratic Party nominee and three-term National Assembly member from Incheon, holds a commanding lead in trader assessments ahead of the June 3 local election. His recent campaign launch, including the May 16 office opening and pledges to develop Incheon as a biotechnology hub while leveraging ties to central ministries, have reinforced perceptions of momentum. Incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok of the People Power Party, seeking a third term, trails after highlighting ongoing transit projects and regulatory relief, yet faces headwinds from economic critiques and the broader political environment. Historical patterns in Korean local races show that strong party affiliation and central government access often translate into decisive margins when no major scandals emerge. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, unexpected policy shifts, or turnout surges in key districts could still narrow the gap before voting concludes.
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Park Chan-dae, the Democratic Party nominee and three-term National Assembly member from Incheon, holds a commanding lead in trader assessments ahead of the June 3 local election. His recent campaign launch, including the May 16 office opening and pledges to develop Incheon as a biotechnology hub while leveraging ties to central ministries, have reinforced perceptions of momentum. Incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok of the People Power Party, seeking a third term, trails after highlighting ongoing transit projects and regulatory relief, yet faces headwinds from economic critiques and the broader political environment. Historical patterns in Korean local races show that strong party affiliation and central government access often translate into decisive margins when no major scandals emerge. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, unexpected policy shifts, or turnout surges in key districts could still narrow the gap before voting concludes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Yoo Jeong-bok's market price saw a brief, minor increase, potentially linked to late-stage campaign messaging or minor shifts in local political sentiment.
May 4 2026
Final pre-election polls confirm Park Chan-dae as overwhelming favorite for Incheon mayor
Park Chan-dae rises to 96%2%
Final polls released in early May 2026 confirmed Park Chan-dae as the overwhelming favorite to win the mayoral election, with market prices reaching 96%, reflecting near certainty of his victory.
Mar 19 2026
Park Chan-dae maintains strong lead amid rival candidates' campaign setbacks
Park Chan-dae rises to 95%2%
In March 2026, rival candidates faced campaign difficulties and negative press, while Park Chan-dae's campaign remained steady, resulting in a market price peak at 95%.
Mar 11 2026
Yoon Sang-hyun sees brief uptick in market interest
Yoon Sang-hyun rises to 3%2%
Yoon Sang-hyun experienced a minor, short-lived increase in market price, likely due to localized political speculation or campaign activity, before returning to near-zero levels.
Feb 19 2026
South Korean court sentences former Prime Minister Han Duck-soo to 23 years for rebellion over martial law
Park Chan-dae jumps to 87%8%
The conviction of Yoon's prime minister for rebellion related to the martial law crisis further weakened the conservative faction and enhanced Park Chan-dae's standing as the favored candidate in Incheon.
Feb 15 2026
Park Chan-dae consolidates lead as rivals drop to near zero
Park Chan-dae jumps to 92%5%
Park Chan-dae's market share reached 92%, effectively signaling his dominance in the race as other candidates like Yoo Jeong-bok and Park Nam-choon saw their support evaporate.
Jan 16 2026
Park Chan-dae reaches new peak in mayoral market
Park Chan-dae jumps to 88%5%
Park Chan-dae's market share continued to climb, reaching 88% as other candidates' prospects faded.
Jan 15 2026
Polls show Park Chan-dae leading with over 90% support in Incheon mayoral race
Park Chan-dae jumps to 90%11%
Mid-January 2026 polls indicated Park Chan-dae commanding over 90% support among likely voters, solidifying his frontrunner status and causing market prices to peak at 90%.
Jan 15 2026
South Korean Constitutional Court removes police chief for supporting Yoon's martial law
Park Chan-dae jumps to 80%12%
The court's removal of the police chief for his role in the martial law episode reinforced the legitimacy of the new administration and further discredited Yoon's allies, consolidating support for Park Chan-dae in the mayoral race.
Dec 3 2025
Park Chan-dae gains momentum in Incheon mayoral race
Park Chan-dae surges to 63%17%
Following a period of volatility, Park Chan-dae's campaign saw a significant boost in support, reflected in a 17-point price increase in the market.
Dec 3 2025
Park Chan-dae gains significant campaign momentum after key endorsements
Park Chan-dae surges to 62%25%
Park Chan-dae received major endorsements from influential local political figures and organizations, boosting his perceived electability and causing a sharp increase in his market price from 37% to 62%. This event signaled growing establishment support, which was critical in consolidating voter confidence.
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Park Chan-dae, the Democratic Party nominee and three-term National Assembly member from Incheon, holds a commanding lead in trader assessments ahead of the June 3 local election. His recent campaign launch, including the May 16 office opening and pledges to develop Incheon as a biotechnology hub while leveraging ties to central ministries, have reinforced perceptions of momentum. Incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok of the People Power Party, seeking a third term, trails after highlighting ongoing transit projects and regulatory relief, yet faces headwinds from economic critiques and the broader political environment. Historical patterns in Korean local races show that strong party affiliation and central government access often translate into decisive margins when no major scandals emerge. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, unexpected policy shifts, or turnout surges in key districts could still narrow the gap before voting concludes.
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Park Chan-dae, the Democratic Party nominee and three-term National Assembly member from Incheon, holds a commanding lead in trader assessments ahead of the June 3 local election. His recent campaign launch, including the May 16 office opening and pledges to develop Incheon as a biotechnology hub while leveraging ties to central ministries, have reinforced perceptions of momentum. Incumbent Yoo Jeong-bok of the People Power Party, seeking a third term, trails after highlighting ongoing transit projects and regulatory relief, yet faces headwinds from economic critiques and the broader political environment. Historical patterns in Korean local races show that strong party affiliation and central government access often translate into decisive margins when no major scandals emerge. Late developments such as candidate withdrawals, unexpected policy shifts, or turnout surges in key districts could still narrow the gap before voting concludes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Yoo Jeong-bok's market price saw a brief, minor increase, potentially linked to late-stage campaign messaging or minor shifts in local political sentiment.
May 4 2026
Final pre-election polls confirm Park Chan-dae as overwhelming favorite for Incheon mayor
Park Chan-dae rises to 96%2%
Final polls released in early May 2026 confirmed Park Chan-dae as the overwhelming favorite to win the mayoral election, with market prices reaching 96%, reflecting near certainty of his victory.
Mar 19 2026
Park Chan-dae maintains strong lead amid rival candidates' campaign setbacks
Park Chan-dae rises to 95%2%
In March 2026, rival candidates faced campaign difficulties and negative press, while Park Chan-dae's campaign remained steady, resulting in a market price peak at 95%.
Mar 11 2026
Yoon Sang-hyun sees brief uptick in market interest
Yoon Sang-hyun rises to 3%2%
Yoon Sang-hyun experienced a minor, short-lived increase in market price, likely due to localized political speculation or campaign activity, before returning to near-zero levels.
Feb 19 2026
South Korean court sentences former Prime Minister Han Duck-soo to 23 years for rebellion over martial law
Park Chan-dae jumps to 87%8%
The conviction of Yoon's prime minister for rebellion related to the martial law crisis further weakened the conservative faction and enhanced Park Chan-dae's standing as the favored candidate in Incheon.
Feb 15 2026
Park Chan-dae consolidates lead as rivals drop to near zero
Park Chan-dae jumps to 92%5%
Park Chan-dae's market share reached 92%, effectively signaling his dominance in the race as other candidates like Yoo Jeong-bok and Park Nam-choon saw their support evaporate.
Jan 16 2026
Park Chan-dae reaches new peak in mayoral market
Park Chan-dae jumps to 88%5%
Park Chan-dae's market share continued to climb, reaching 88% as other candidates' prospects faded.
Jan 15 2026
Polls show Park Chan-dae leading with over 90% support in Incheon mayoral race
Park Chan-dae jumps to 90%11%
Mid-January 2026 polls indicated Park Chan-dae commanding over 90% support among likely voters, solidifying his frontrunner status and causing market prices to peak at 90%.
Jan 15 2026
South Korean Constitutional Court removes police chief for supporting Yoon's martial law
Park Chan-dae jumps to 80%12%
The court's removal of the police chief for his role in the martial law episode reinforced the legitimacy of the new administration and further discredited Yoon's allies, consolidating support for Park Chan-dae in the mayoral race.
Dec 3 2025
Park Chan-dae gains momentum in Incheon mayoral race
Park Chan-dae surges to 63%17%
Following a period of volatility, Park Chan-dae's campaign saw a significant boost in support, reflected in a 17-point price increase in the market.
Dec 3 2025
Park Chan-dae gains significant campaign momentum after key endorsements
Park Chan-dae surges to 62%25%
Park Chan-dae received major endorsements from influential local political figures and organizations, boosting his perceived electability and causing a sharp increase in his market price from 37% to 62%. This event signaled growing establishment support, which was critical in consolidating voter confidence.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes
"Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Incheon" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Park Chan-dae" con 95%, seguido de "Yoo Jeong-bok" con 4%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 95¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.
A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Incheon" ha generado $2.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 17, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.
Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Incheon", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.
El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Incheon" es "Park Chan-dae" con 95%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Yoo Jeong-bok" con 4%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.
Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Incheon" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.
Sí. No necesitas operar para mantenerte informado. Esta página sirve como rastreador en vivo para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Incheon". Las probabilidades de los resultados se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que entran nuevas operaciones. Puedes guardar esta página en marcadores y consultar la sección de comentarios para ver lo que dicen otros operadores. También puedes usar los filtros de rango temporal en el gráfico para ver cómo han cambiado las probabilidades a lo largo del tiempo.
Las probabilidades de Polymarket son establecidas por operadores reales que ponen dinero real detrás de sus creencias, lo que tiende a generar predicciones precisas. Con $2.6 million operados en “Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Incheon”, estos precios agregan el conocimiento colectivo y la convicción de miles de participantes — a menudo superando a encuestas, pronósticos de expertos y estudios tradicionales. Los mercados de predicción como Polymarket tienen un sólido historial de precisión, especialmente cuando los eventos se acercan a su fecha de resolución. Por ejemplo, Polymarket tiene una puntuación de precisión a un mes de 94%. Para las últimas estadísticas sobre la precisión de predicción de Polymarket, visita la página de precisión en Polymarket.
Para realizar tu primera operación en "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Incheon", regístrate en una cuenta gratuita de Polymarket y deposita fondos usando criptomonedas, tarjeta de crédito o débito, o transferencia bancaria. Una vez que tu cuenta tenga fondos, vuelve a esta página, selecciona el resultado en el que quieras operar, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si eres nuevo en los mercados de predicción, haz clic en el enlace "Cómo funciona" en la parte superior de cualquier página de Polymarket para una guía paso a paso.
En Polymarket, el precio de cada resultado representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Un precio de 95¢ para "Park Chan-dae" en el mercado "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Incheon" significa que los operadores colectivamente creen que hay aproximadamente una probabilidad de 95% de que "Park Chan-dae" sea el resultado correcto. Si compras acciones de "Sí" a 95¢ y el resultado es correcto, recibes $1,00 por acción, una ganancia de 5¢ por acción. Si es incorrecto, esas acciones valen $0.
El mercado "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Incheon" está programado para resolverse en o alrededor del Jun 3, 2026. Esto significa que el trading permanecerá abierto y las probabilidades seguirán cambiando hasta esa fecha. El momento exacto de resolución depende de cuándo esté disponible el resultado oficial, como se describe en la sección "Reglas".
El mercado "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Incheon" tiene una discusión creciente de 7 comentarios donde los operadores comparten sus análisis, debaten resultados y discuten los últimos desarrollos. Desplázate hacia abajo a la sección de comentarios para leer lo que piensan otros participantes. También puedes filtrar por "Principales poseedores" o consultar la pestaña "Actividad" para un feed en tiempo real de operaciones.
Polymarket es el mercado de predicción más grande del mundo, donde puedes mantenerte informado y beneficiarte de tu conocimiento sobre eventos del mundo real. Los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre resultados de temas que van desde política y elecciones hasta criptomonedas, finanzas, deportes, tecnología y cultura, incluyendo mercados como "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Incheon". Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real respaldadas por convicción financiera, ofreciendo a menudo señales más rápidas y precisas que las encuestas, los expertos o los estudios tradicionales.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes