Recent political tensions in Iran center on accusations by hardliners that figures including President Pezeshkian and parliamentary speaker Ghalibaf are maneuvering to sideline Mojtaba Khamenei and consolidate control amid fragile US truce talks following the February 2026 leadership decapitation strikes. These claims, voiced publicly in mid-July 2026 as negotiations face pressure, reflect internal regime divisions over power succession and foreign policy rather than organized military action against the government. No verified coup attempt has materialized in recent months, though ongoing diplomatic developments and any escalation in factional rivalries could influence the likelihood of visible instability before year-end. Trader consensus reflects this limited evidence of imminent regime change efforts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$2,115,833 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 de diciembre
11%
$2,115,833 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$74,607 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent political tensions in Iran center on accusations by hardliners that figures including President Pezeshkian and parliamentary speaker Ghalibaf are maneuvering to sideline Mojtaba Khamenei and consolidate control amid fragile US truce talks following the February 2026 leadership decapitation strikes. These claims, voiced publicly in mid-July 2026 as negotiations face pressure, reflect internal regime divisions over power succession and foreign policy rather than organized military action against the government. No verified coup attempt has materialized in recent months, though ongoing diplomatic developments and any escalation in factional rivalries could influence the likelihood of visible instability before year-end. Trader consensus reflects this limited evidence of imminent regime change efforts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Volumen
$2,115,833Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent political tensions in Iran center on accusations by hardliners that figures including President Pezeshkian and parliamentary speaker Ghalibaf are maneuvering to sideline Mojtaba Khamenei and consolidate control amid fragile US truce talks following the February 2026 leadership decapitation strikes. These claims, voiced publicly in mid-July 2026 as negotiations face pressure, reflect internal regime divisions over power succession and foreign policy rather than organized military action against the government. No verified coup attempt has materialized in recent months, though ongoing diplomatic developments and any escalation in factional rivalries could influence the likelihood of visible instability before year-end. Trader consensus reflects this limited evidence of imminent regime change efforts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$2,115,833Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent political tensions in Iran center on accusations by hardliners that figures including President Pezeshkian and parliamentary speaker Ghalibaf are maneuvering to sideline Mojtaba Khamenei and consolidate control amid fragile US truce talks following the February 2026 leadership decapitation strikes. These claims, voiced publicly in mid-July 2026 as negotiations face pressure, reflect internal regime divisions over power succession and foreign policy rather than organized military action against the government. No verified coup attempt has materialized in recent months, though ongoing diplomatic developments and any escalation in factional rivalries could influence the likelihood of visible instability before year-end. Trader consensus reflects this limited evidence of imminent regime change efforts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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