Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall faces a fragmented Democratic primary field ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest, bolstering his prospects in a state with an established Republican partisan lean. Recent polling shows Marshall ahead by double digits against leading Democratic challengers such as state Sen. Patrick Schmidt and pastor Adam Hamilton, while major forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican. Strong fundraising by the incumbent and the absence of a high-profile Democratic recruit like term-limited Gov. Laura Kelly have reinforced trader consensus around an 80% probability for a Republican victory in the November general election. The race remains subject to shifts from primary outcomes or national political developments before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Kansas
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Kansas
$28,102 Vol.
$28,102 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
80%
Demócrata
19%
$28,102 Vol.
$28,102 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$16,846 Vol.
80%
Demócrata
$11,256 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall faces a fragmented Democratic primary field ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest, bolstering his prospects in a state with an established Republican partisan lean. Recent polling shows Marshall ahead by double digits against leading Democratic challengers such as state Sen. Patrick Schmidt and pastor Adam Hamilton, while major forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican. Strong fundraising by the incumbent and the absence of a high-profile Democratic recruit like term-limited Gov. Laura Kelly have reinforced trader consensus around an 80% probability for a Republican victory in the November general election. The race remains subject to shifts from primary outcomes or national political developments before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volumen
$28,102Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall faces a fragmented Democratic primary field ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest, bolstering his prospects in a state with an established Republican partisan lean. Recent polling shows Marshall ahead by double digits against leading Democratic challengers such as state Sen. Patrick Schmidt and pastor Adam Hamilton, while major forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican. Strong fundraising by the incumbent and the absence of a high-profile Democratic recruit like term-limited Gov. Laura Kelly have reinforced trader consensus around an 80% probability for a Republican victory in the November general election. The race remains subject to shifts from primary outcomes or national political developments before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$28,102Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall faces a fragmented Democratic primary field ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest, bolstering his prospects in a state with an established Republican partisan lean. Recent polling shows Marshall ahead by double digits against leading Democratic challengers such as state Sen. Patrick Schmidt and pastor Adam Hamilton, while major forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Safe Republican. Strong fundraising by the incumbent and the absence of a high-profile Democratic recruit like term-limited Gov. Laura Kelly have reinforced trader consensus around an 80% probability for a Republican victory in the November general election. The race remains subject to shifts from primary outcomes or national political developments before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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