Incumbent Rep. Sharice Davids' May 11 filing for re-election in Kansas' 3rd Congressional District has reinforced trader consensus favoring Democrats at 87%, building on her double-digit general election margins in 2020, 2022, and 2024 against underfunded Republican challengers. Failed GOP redistricting efforts preserved the D+2 district's suburban Johnson County base, where Kamala Harris won 51% in 2024, and ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic) and others align with this stability. With candidate filing closing June 1 ahead of August 4 primaries, Davids holds $1.4 million cash-on-hand versus unproven GOP primary entrants Chase LaPorte and Blake Stanley, underscoring low flip risk despite national midterm dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoKS-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
KS-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$12,257 Vol.
$12,257 Vol.
Partido Demócrata
87%
Partido Republicano
14%
$12,257 Vol.
$12,257 Vol.
Partido Demócrata
87%
Partido Republicano
14%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Sharice Davids' May 11 filing for re-election in Kansas' 3rd Congressional District has reinforced trader consensus favoring Democrats at 87%, building on her double-digit general election margins in 2020, 2022, and 2024 against underfunded Republican challengers. Failed GOP redistricting efforts preserved the D+2 district's suburban Johnson County base, where Kamala Harris won 51% in 2024, and ratings from Cook Political Report (Solid Democratic) and others align with this stability. With candidate filing closing June 1 ahead of August 4 primaries, Davids holds $1.4 million cash-on-hand versus unproven GOP primary entrants Chase LaPorte and Blake Stanley, underscoring low flip risk despite national midterm dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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