Skip to main content
icon for KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

icon for KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Ralph Alvarado 99.2%

Greg Plucinski <1%

Adam Perez Arquette <1%

Gavin Solomon <1%

Polymarket

$25,281 Vol.

Ralph Alvarado 99.2%

Greg Plucinski <1%

Adam Perez Arquette <1%

Gavin Solomon <1%

Polymarket

$25,281 Vol.

Ralph Alvarado

$11,369 Vol.

99%

Greg Plucinski

$1,055 Vol.

1%

Adam Perez Arquette

$1,987 Vol.

1%

Gavin Solomon

$1,949 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Dotson

$8,921 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ralph Alvarado holds a commanding lead in the Kentucky Republican primary for the 6th Congressional District, scheduled for May 19, as trader consensus reflects his strong positioning ahead of the vote. Key factors include President Trump’s May 1 endorsement highlighting Alvarado’s alignment on economic growth, border security, and energy policy, along with the U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorsement for his pro-business record. The recent withdrawal of Adam Perez Arquette, who endorsed Alvarado on May 13, has further consolidated support among remaining challengers such as state Representative Ryan Dotson and businessman Greg Plucinski. Alvarado’s prior service in the Kentucky Senate and as Tennessee health commissioner provides established name recognition in the district. While the frontrunner appears positioned for a decisive outcome, shifts could still arise from last-minute developments or unusually high turnout among other candidates’ bases in the final days before the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$25,281
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ralph Alvarado holds a commanding lead in the Kentucky Republican primary for the 6th Congressional District, scheduled for May 19, as trader consensus reflects his strong positioning ahead of the vote. Key factors include President Trump’s May 1 endorsement highlighting Alvarado’s alignment on economic growth, border security, and energy policy, along with the U.S. Chamber of Commerce endorsement for his pro-business record. The recent withdrawal of Adam Perez Arquette, who endorsed Alvarado on May 13, has further consolidated support among remaining challengers such as state Representative Ryan Dotson and businessman Greg Plucinski. Alvarado’s prior service in the Kentucky Senate and as Tennessee health commissioner provides established name recognition in the district. While the frontrunner appears positioned for a decisive outcome, shifts could still arise from last-minute developments or unusually high turnout among other candidates’ bases in the final days before the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$25,281
Fecha de finalización
19 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ralph Alvarado" con 99%, seguido de "Greg Plucinski" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 99¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" ha generado $25.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 18, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es "Ralph Alvarado" con 99%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Greg Plucinski" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "KY-06 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.