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icon for Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles

Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles

icon for Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles

Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles

Karen Bass 57%

Spencer Pratt 24%

Nithya Raman 18%

Adam Miller <1%

Polymarket

$2,267,226 Vol.

Karen Bass 57%

Spencer Pratt 24%

Nithya Raman 18%

Adam Miller <1%

Polymarket

$2,267,226 Vol.

icon for Karen Bass

Karen Bass

$67,572 Vol.

57%

icon for Spencer Pratt

Spencer Pratt

$840,282 Vol.

24%

icon for Nithya Raman

Nithya Raman

$94,068 Vol.

18%

icon for Adam Miller

Adam Miller

$120,091 Vol.

1%

icon for Rae Huang

Rae Huang

$463,740 Vol.

1%

icon for Asaad Alnajjar

Asaad Alnajjar

$65,223 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austin Beutner

Austin Beutner

$18,623 Vol.

<1%

icon for Monica Rodriguez

Monica Rodriguez

$19,496 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rick Caruso

Rick Caruso

$446,226 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gina Viola

Gina Viola

$103,742 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lindsey Horvath

Lindsey Horvath

$28,167 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass maintains the leading position in the Los Angeles mayoral election through established name recognition and her administration's ongoing work on housing, homelessness, and public safety priorities. Recent campaign activities and official policy updates have reinforced trader assessments of her re-election path. Spencer Pratt draws attention as an unconventional challenger appealing to voters seeking outsider perspectives, while Nithya Raman consolidates support among progressive constituencies focused on equity and reform issues. The market consensus reflects these dynamics as the nonpartisan primary approaches, with lower-probability candidates facing structural barriers related to fundraising and voter outreach in a large urban electorate.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volumen
$2,267,226
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.Incumbent Mayor Karen Bass maintains the leading position in the Los Angeles mayoral election through established name recognition and her administration's ongoing work on housing, homelessness, and public safety priorities. Recent campaign activities and official policy updates have reinforced trader assessments of her re-election path. Spencer Pratt draws attention as an unconventional challenger appealing to voters seeking outsider perspectives, while Nithya Raman consolidates support among progressive constituencies focused on equity and reform issues. The market consensus reflects these dynamics as the nonpartisan primary approaches, with lower-probability candidates facing structural barriers related to fundraising and voter outreach in a large urban electorate.

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
Volumen
$2,267,226
Fecha de finalización
2 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 9, 2025, 4:35 PM ET
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Karen Bass" con 57%, seguido de "Spencer Pratt" con 24%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 57¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 57% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles" ha generado $2.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 9, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles" es "Karen Bass" con 57%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 57% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Spencer Pratt" con 24%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elecciones a la alcaldía de Los Ángeles" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.