**Clear skies and light winds have enabled strong radiative cooling overnight in Ankara, positioning the daily minimum temperature near 7–8°C.** Official station data (e.g., LTAC) recorded a low of approximately 8°C (46°F) on September 15, 2026, with early-morning readings around 7–9°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions and minimal wind. Multiple forecast models converged on an overnight low of 10–12°C earlier in the period, but updated guidance and real-time observations shifted cooler due to dry air, high pressure, and efficient heat loss from the elevated plateau terrain. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 8°C (56.5%) and 7°C (44.0%), while lower outcomes (6°C or below) retain meaningful support amid typical model spread and microclimate variations across the city. Higher thresholds remain near zero probability given the observed trajectory. Upcoming resolution will hinge on final verified minimums from authoritative meteorological sources.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ankara el 15 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ankara el 15 de septiembre?
8°C 99.5%
5°C o menos 46%
6°C 1.0%
7°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 sep 2026
5°C o menos
46%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
100%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C o más
<1%
8°C 99.5%
5°C o menos 46%
6°C 1.0%
7°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 sep 2026
5°C o menos
$10 Vol.
46%
6°C
$16 Vol.
1%
7°C
$138 Vol.
1%
8°C
$304 Vol.
100%
9°C
$380 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$395 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$248 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$222 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$26 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$252 Vol.
<1%
15°C o más
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light winds have enabled strong radiative cooling overnight in Ankara, positioning the daily minimum temperature near 7–8°C.**
Official station data (e.g., LTAC) recorded a low of approximately 8°C (46°F) on September 15, 2026, with early-morning readings around 7–9°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions and minimal wind. Multiple forecast models converged on an overnight low of 10–12°C earlier in the period, but updated guidance and real-time observations shifted cooler due to dry air, high pressure, and efficient heat loss from the elevated plateau terrain.
This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 8°C (56.5%) and 7°C (44.0%), while lower outcomes (6°C or below) retain meaningful support amid typical model spread and microclimate variations across the city. Higher thresholds remain near zero probability given the observed trajectory. Upcoming resolution will hinge on final verified minimums from authoritative meteorological sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Volumen
$2,001Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies and light winds have enabled strong radiative cooling overnight in Ankara, positioning the daily minimum temperature near 7–8°C.**
Official station data (e.g., LTAC) recorded a low of approximately 8°C (46°F) on September 15, 2026, with early-morning readings around 7–9°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions and minimal wind. Multiple forecast models converged on an overnight low of 10–12°C earlier in the period, but updated guidance and real-time observations shifted cooler due to dry air, high pressure, and efficient heat loss from the elevated plateau terrain.
This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 8°C (56.5%) and 7°C (44.0%), while lower outcomes (6°C or below) retain meaningful support amid typical model spread and microclimate variations across the city. Higher thresholds remain near zero probability given the observed trajectory. Upcoming resolution will hinge on final verified minimums from authoritative meteorological sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,001Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and light winds have enabled strong radiative cooling overnight in Ankara, positioning the daily minimum temperature near 7–8°C.** Official station data (e.g., LTAC) recorded a low of approximately 8°C (46°F) on September 15, 2026, with early-morning readings around 7–9°C under partly cloudy to clear conditions and minimal wind. Multiple forecast models converged on an overnight low of 10–12°C earlier in the period, but updated guidance and real-time observations shifted cooler due to dry air, high pressure, and efficient heat loss from the elevated plateau terrain. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 8°C (56.5%) and 7°C (44.0%), while lower outcomes (6°C or below) retain meaningful support amid typical model spread and microclimate variations across the city. Higher thresholds remain near zero probability given the observed trajectory. Upcoming resolution will hinge on final verified minimums from authoritative meteorological sources.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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